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NatWest Swings to Profit While Pandemic Loan Provisions Dip

Stefania Spezzati
·3 mins read

(Bloomberg) --

NatWest Group Plc swung to a profit in its third quarter as the partial lifting of social restrictions fueled consumer spending and fewer-than-expected bad loans.

The Edinburgh-based lender took a charge of 254 million pounds ($328 million) to cover souring loans on Friday and said the total for the year was likely to be at the lower end of its range of between 3.5 and 4.5 billion pounds. It’s still on course for its worst year for provisions since a mis-selling scandal almost a decade ago, with the U.K. economy struggling through the Covid-19 pandemic.

“Challenging times lie ahead, especially as the current government support schemes come to an end and as new Covid-19 related restrictions are introduced,” Alison Rose, chief executive officer, said on Friday. About 50,000 of the bank’s own staff continue to work from home.

NatWest followed rivals Barclays Plc, Lloyds Banking Group Plc and HSBC Holdings Plc in making smaller provisions for expected defaults in the past week as British spending soared after months under lockdown. NatWest reported a 30% surge in debit card spending compared to the three months through June, while credit card spending rose 43% and mortgage applications increased by 91%.

The bank’s shares rose as much as 5.9% in early London trading.

NatWest posted a third-quarter operating profit of 355 million pounds, ahead of forecasts, even as net interest income fell slightly. Dividends across the industry are suspended, helping the bank retain capital and boost its closely-watched capital ratio known as Common Equity Tier 1 to 18.2%.

“NatWest is the best capitalised of the large mainstream UK banks,” Shore Capital analyst Gary Greenwood said in a note. “The group is well positioned to resume distributions to shareholders and expect the regulator will soon give the green light for it to do so.”

State Support

The U.K. government intervened to support 9 million jobs and boost the hospitality industry after imposing a lockdown to slow the spread of Covid-19 in March. Banks, under pressure from regulators to be flexible with customers, offered payment holidays and interest-free overdrafts. NatWest has lent 7.9 billion pounds to small businesses under the Bounce Back Loan Scheme, making it one of the biggest participants behind Lloyds.

Some of Britain’s state support, including the furlough program, is set to end this week even as lockdown measures are revived. Then there’s the uncertainty about any post-Brexit trade deal, just two months before the transition period expires.

NatWest is still part-owned by the government after one of the costliest bailouts of the financial crisis over a decade ago. Rose, who took the helm last November, changed the bank’s name from Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc and continues to shrink the firm into a domestic-focused lender.

The group said on Friday it continued to review the future of its Irish unit Ulster Bank “appropriately and responsibly,” amid reports that it could shut the business. Ulster Bank’s future has been an open question since the financial crisis with successive CEOs weighing options for the bank. In 2015, it considered selling the lender, while a possible merger with another Irish bank has also been touted.

(Adds detail on earnings from first paragraph)

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