LUDHIANA: As the number of Covid-19 deaths is witnessing a fall in Ludhiana, the district has recorded slight fall in the case fatality rate (CFR) recently. This rate is the proportion of deaths from a certain disease compared to the total number of people diagnosed with the disease during a particular period.
As per the recent state media bulletins, the CFR for Ludhiana district has been 4.1% for the last two days, which is 0.1% lower as compared to CFR for 20 days before that. The data suggests that the CFR had reached the highest value of 4.3% on September 10 and had remained the same till September 15 before witnessing a fall.
The analysis of the data of CFR since August 1 suggests that on that date, such rate in Ludhiana district was 3%, which increased to 3.5% till August 16 before rising further to 3.8% till August 31. While the CFR for Ludhiana district on September 1 was 3.9%, it reached 4% the next day before rising to 4.3% on September 10 and then dropping to 4.1% by September 18 and remaining same till October 3. The CFR had then increased to 4.2% on October 4 and remained the same till October 23 before registering a fall to the current value.
Meanwhile, the latest media bulletin of the state government containing data till Sunday evening suggests that Ludhiana district shared third spot with Kapurthala as far as CFR (at 4.1%) is concerned. The bulletin indicates that Fatehgarh Sahib and Ropar had the highest CFR percentage in the state at 4.6%, whereas Sangrur and Tarn Taran shared second spot with a CFR of 4.2%. Fazilka had the lowest CFR among the districts of the state at 1.6%.
With CFR of 4.1%, Ludhiana’s percentage is still higher than that of state, which is 3.1%. As the CFR percentage has witnessed a decrease in Ludhiana, health authorities expect that the rate will decrease further.
Civil surgeon Dr Rajesh Bagga said that as the number of deaths and positive cases had witnessed a decrease, so the CFR had come down automatically and would decrease further in the coming times. He added that they had been making people aware about the norms related to Covid-19 prevention, including wearing of masks, adopting social distancing and maintaining hand hygiene.