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The weekly price action formed a bullish belt hold line candle carrying sizable bull candle with higher high-low, indicating acceleration of upward momentum as the index surpassed our intermediate target of 11,800 and resolved out of the past five weeks trading range (11,794-10,790).
Going ahead, we expect the index to consolidate in the broad range of 12,100-11,500 and form a higher base amid stock-specific activity.
Structurally, the index has completely retraced its 19 session’s decline (11,794-10,790) in just nine sessions.
A faster retracement in less than half the time interval highlights medium-term positive bias in the index
Analyst Name: Dharmesh Shah, Head - Technical, ICICI Securities
F&O Strategy:
Buy Axis Bank
- CMP: 466
- Target: 490
- Stop loss: 450
Buy Bharat Forge
- CMP: 460
- Target: 495
- Stop loss: 445
Stock | Reco | CMP | Target | Stop loss | Note |
HDFC Bank | Buy | 1,215 | 1,305 | 1,160 | Price breakout above the last three months consolidation range (1,158-993) and a faster retracement of the last falling segment |
Sun Pharma | Buy | 513 | 554 | 489 | The stock is placed at the previous major breakout area and the lower band of the rising channel thus offers a fresh entry opportunity with a favourable risk reward set up |
Dabur India | Buy | 515 | 550 | 496 | Stock at the cusp of breakout above the upper band of the last seven months consolidation range (525-440) and MACD in buy mode |
FX Strategy:
Buy USD-INR
- Buy USD-INR at 73.15-73.25
- Target: 73.65
- Stop loss: 73.00
- The Dollar index found support near 93 levels and witnessed marginal bounce from its support zone of 93.
- This helped INR to revert from its sizable Put base of 73 and we feel the rise in the Dollar index would keep the rupee move in check.
Resistance | 73.50 | 73.60 | 73.70 |
Support | 73.10 | 73.00 | 72.90 |
Sell EUR-INR
- Sell EUR-INR at 86.75-86.85
- Target: 86.00
- Stop loss: 87.00
- EURUSD has bounced towards its resistance of 1.18 after moving towards 1.16 levels.
- Weakening of the Euro against all currencies would push EUR-INR pair lower towards the 86 levels.
Resistance | 86.80 | 86.90 | 87.00 |
Support | 86.30 | 86.15 | 86.00 |
(Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this column are that of the writer. The facts and opinions expressed here do not reflect the views of www.economictimes.com.)
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