New states contribute to surge in coronavirus cases as India overtakes US

India recorded the highest rise in Covid-19 cases anywhere in the world on Monday, overtaking the US that has seen a dip in numbers recently. The spurt is coming from states such as Andhra Pradesh and Assam, which had thus far been less impacted by the pandemic. States such as Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu — which saw high growth earlier — have seen some moderation. A look at the spread in 20 states that account for about 98% of the cases.

1. Total cases double in 20 days

2. Twelve states grew faster than national average in past 5 weeks

3. These have a high contribution to growth in cases

4. And now a rising share in overall numbers

5. Eight states have seen moderation in growth or are lower than national average

6. They have a declining contribution to growth in cases…

7. And now a falling share in overall numbers

8. What the data shows

Pandemic has now spread across India
New hotspots include the most populous states
Absolute case count still low in these states despite recent spike

9. What it means

These states are likely to see high case rate before they peak
Absolute deaths could rise as disease spreads across India
Some states still testing less; more testing needed to contain disease