Covid-19 peaking fast in most areas

Vadodara: Analysis of data on Covid-19 cases in the city has shown that the disease seems to be peaking at different times in different pockets.
Details released by the Vadodara Municipal Corporation (VMC) point out that in 16 of the 34 urban primary health centre (UPHC) areas, the infection is peaking this month. In 15 others, it is likely to peak next month even as three others have already seen a spike and now only stray cases are being reported there.
The analysis of data was done over the last week to find out trends in the prevalence of the disease in the city. The areas that were hotbeds under the Navidharti, Warasiya and Jubelibaug UPHCs are now witnessing only stray cases. At the other end, the western parts of the city seem to be either peaking now or, in some cases, may peak in August.
“The analysis was possible as now we have a significant number of cases in the city. The areas where we believe the disease has peaked had over 300 cases at one point of time and these came down by 10% or even lesser now,” said VMC’s medical officer (health) Dr Devesh Patel.
Patel said that within UPHC areas too the trends were different and these were being analysed too. “We are looking to work on the areas of auxiliary nurse midwife (ANM) and even in areas below it,” said Patel.
When asked if there was a possibility of a spike in areas where the numbers were already on a rise, Patel said that this would become clear only as and when cases are reported. Sources said that the health officials were hoping that whenever new areas join the list of those peaking, there are some areas that go out of the list as ones that have already peaked. This will ensure that the medical facilities in the city are not overburdened.