Tips and race-by-race preview for Canterbury on Wednesday

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Tips and race-by-race preview for Canterbury on Wednesday

Selections based on a heavy track.

Race 1 – 1:25PM HYLAND EOFY SALE PLATE (1550m)

1. Brutality has been attacking the line with gusto in his two runs back and handled the heavy well running fourth here two weeks ago. Shapes as though the extra trip will suit, drawn nicely and is hard to go past.
Dangers: 8. Mooy wasn’t disgraced fresh at Warwick Farm where she worked home when the race was all over beaten two lengths. Sharp jump in distance but chance to take a hand in the finish. 5. Teronito has been competitive in two heavy track starts at Kembla recently for a couple of placings and while he had his chance last time he stuck to the task well. Wouldn’t rule him out in a very winnable race. 6. Zounate is going well in provincial maidens and as the likely leader here could give a sight.

How to play it: Brutality win; Trifecta 1/ 4,5,6/4,5,6.
Odds & Evens: Split.

Estrado looks good value on Wednesday's card at Canterbury.Credit:Morgan Hancock

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Race 2 – 2PM ALL TOO HARD @ VINERY HANDICAP (1250m)

2. Prompt Prodigy had the toughest run in the race on debut and was finishing better than most as he closed into third at Warwick Farm. Handled the heavy well there. Better for that run and may get an easier passage this time. If he can improve on a promising first-up effort, he’ll go close.
Dangers: 1. Gunnamatta led them up in the same race as Prompt Prodigy and just held him off to run second after having a reasonable time in front. Likely to press forward again so will likely be the one to run down. 3. Oregon brings a different form line. Solid debut here on a heavy last month then looked a bit one-paced at 1400m at Randwick when safely held in fourth. The question is: was he in the slow part of the track? Worth another chance to find out. 5. Castlecomer hasn’t been overly competitive in his three runs to date but he has trialled up pretty well twice leading into this race. Returns as a gelding with James McDonald riding so has a bit going for him. Keep an eye on betting.
How to play it: Prompt Prodigy win; Trifecta 2/1,3,5/1,3,5;
Odds & Evens: Split.

Race 3 – 2:35PM HARRY ANGEL @ DARLEY HANDICAP (1250m)

9. Sheer Treasure is a very interesting runner and worth a look each-way first-up. Replated at the gates and blew the start at her only appearance in Melbourne and she made some nice late ground. Quiet trial on the heavy recently and has gate one. Keep safe, especially if there’s any support.
Dangers: 3. Global Queen is a sister to NZ group 1 winner Summer Passage on debut and she looked very professional winning a synthetic trial at Randwick two weeks ago. Only wet track trial was fair and she has drawn awkwardly but McDonald riding is interesting so commands respect. 5. Obiri had a wide run on debut and she didn’t give it up, fighting on to finish midfield at Warwick Farm when all the placegetters gained inside runs. Fitter for that and she’s one to throw in the mix at odds. 1. Heart Of Siena debuted in the same race as an $81 chance and she hit the front before being run down by Silhouette. Drawn to get a nice run again and, if she can back that performance up, she is one of the chances.
How to play it: Sheer Treasure each-way.
Odds & Evens: Odds.

Race 4 – 3:10PM RANVET POWER HANDICAP (1550m)

4. Showminder showed plenty of heart to fight back after looking gone early in the straight and was stronger than anything on the line winning first-up. Can only be better for that, will get a nice run just off a good pace here and no reason why he can’t go close again in similar grade.
Dangers: 9. Savigne is a likely improver on an even effort first-up from a break behind Threeood at Warwick Farm. Drawn the inside and the extra distance is a plus. She’s OK in the wet and has run well at both starts here. Expect her to show something. 8. Dream Runner is hard to line up with both wins coming at Canberra, the latest over a horse beaten at its next start, but they have been dominant. Both wins on soft 5 so a heavy is a bit of a query but hard to knock on what we’ve seen. 5. Holy Reign enjoyed a nice run and tried hard when placed in a similar race two weeks ago. Should again find a trail and have the chance to put himself in the finish.
How to play it: Showminder each-way; Quinella 4,8,9.
Odds & Evens: Split.

Race 5 – 3:45PM TAB HANDICAP (1100m)

13. Estrado was heavily supported and never really looked in doubt scoring two weeks ago on a heavy track. Similar conditions, same draw, same weight, slight class rise to take on the boys but looks to get that run behind the speed again and she’s entitled to hold that form.
Dangers: 8. Best Stone is a smart type resuming with a wide gate but he should press forward and look for a spot on the speed. Nice trial winner in the heavy here before an exercise trial on the synthetic. Big chance with any luck. 1. Lancaster Bomber loves a wet track and is racing well this time in coming off a popular win at Gosford a couple of weeks ago on a heavy deck. Drawn to effect here and is one of the each-way chances. 4. Bella Rosa showed some improvement second-up back in her right class running on strongly late at Warwick Farm on a heavy track. Not sure where she gets to from the wide gate but no surprise to see her in the finish with the right run.
How to play it: Estrado each-way.
Odds & Evens: Split.

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Race 6 – 4:20PM CALYX @ COOLMORE AUSTRALIA HANDICAP (1900m)

2. Lando Bay looks a very progressive type and, while giving away weight here, the way he powered to the line at Randwick suggests he can handle the task. Good speed on paper should afford him the chance to find a spot and expect he will be hard to hold out.
Dangers: 3. Lord Gododdin is desperate for an improving track but he’s been around the mark in the wet of late. Stuck on fairly last time but his run at Randwick prior was sound. From gate one with McDonald on board, wouldn’t surprise if he is on the podium somewhere. 12. Clever Man is straight out of maiden company but there was plenty to like about how he attacked the line and ran right away from them to score at Newcastle at a similar trip. Should handle the heavy OK based on previous efforts and while this is a step up he has more upside than most. 8. Monasterio has suggested with his past couple of runs at Canterbury that he’s going OK and he stayed on after leading in very trying ground here two weeks ago to hold third. Better off at the weights and he could give a sight.
How to play it: Lando Bay win; Trifecta 2/3,8,12/3,8,12.
Odds & Evens: Split.

BEST BETS
Race 1: (1) Brutality
Race 6: (2) Lando Bay

BEST VALUE
Race 5: (13) Estrado

Tips supplied by Racing NSW.
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au

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