5% Q1 growth surprise; economy will look up with measures taken: RBI governor Shaktikanta Das

Highlights

  • Expressing concern over the first quarter GDP numbers, the RBI governor said the numbers definitely looked much worse because the RBI had projected 5.8 per cent
  • Das also said that the RBI has been cutting rates to give a boost to the economy as slowdown was visible for past few months
RBI governor Shaktikanta Das (File photo) RBI governor Shaktikanta Das (File photo)
NEW DELHI: Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor Shaktikanta Das on Monday termed the low GDP growth of 5 per cent as a "surprise" but expressed confidence that the economy will look up with a host of measures taken by the government.

He further said that the RBI has been cutting rates to give a boost to the economy as slowdown was visible for past few months.


The RBI slashed benchmark interest rate four times consecutively since January 2019. The central bank reduced the repo (short term lending) rate by 1.10 percentage points during the year.

"I think with right measures taken, things should improve. It's a positive trend that the government is responding very fast and I don't think we have heard the last from the government with regard to dealing with the current economic situation ... My expectation is that it will be a continuous process and they would definitely be dealing with other challenges," he told news channels.

The government announced a slew of measures in three dosages which include a special window for real estate, export incentives, bank consolidation and sops for MSMEs and the automobile sector.

India's growth slumps to over 6-year low of 5% in June quarter; below China's

India's economic growth on Friday slumped for the fifth straight quarter to an over six-year low of 5% as consumer demand and private investment slowed amid deteriorating global environment. Having lost the tag of the world's fastest-growing economy earlier this year, India's GDP growth was behind China's 6.2% in April-June, its weakest pace in at least 27 years.


With regard to structural reforms, he said the RBI has already pointed out in its annual report.

"I think one major thing would be agriculture marketing. Definitely, I would expect some action from the government with regard to reforms in agricultural marketing," he said.

Expressing concern over the first quarter GDP numbers, the RBI governor said the numbers definitely looked much worse because the RBI had projected 5.8 per cent.

"I think almost everybody had projected not below 5.5 per cent or so, but the number 5 per cent is a surprise," he said.

He also said the second quarter growth of all advanced economies was lower than the first quarter so there is a deceleration.

"But again I am not trying to justify our slowdown through the prism of the global slowdown although global slowdown does impact growth and results in slowdown we have domestic issues also," he said.


Eight core sectors growth slows to 2.1% in July

Growth in eight core sector industries - coal, crude oil, natural gas, refinery products, fertiliser, steel, cement and electricity - dropped to 2.1% in July. These industries expanded by 7.3% in July last year. As per government data released on Monday, the output of coal, crude oil, natural gas and refinery products recorded negative growth in July.


Asked when will the economy see revival, Das said it is difficult to make an estimate as there are many things which are still playing out.


"Now for example the Saudi oil crisis it was something totally unanticipated. The trade issue between two largest economies some statements here it appears that they are going on the brink but then they pull back...so much of uncertainty happening all around," he said.


How various factors play out in the second quarter, the RBI will analyse and make assessment, he added.
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