NEW DELHI: The
Finance Minister’s weekend booster package for the economy and market could not help the domestic equity indices fend off the global rout.
And Big Bull
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala said he has never seen such pessimism in the market. “It looks overdone,” he said.
In an exclusive interview with ETNOW, Jhunjhunwala said there is a buying opportunity in this market. “But I believe it is way too much to expect the market to rebound immediately.”
On Monday, the
BSE Sensex opened 662 points higher, only to slip into the red within 10 minutes of trade. It was down 150 points at one point.
“There is no one thing that can revive sentiment. We need a series of measures to improve sentiment,” Jhunjhunwala said, adding that the steps taken by the FM will revive sentiment in the economy.
Finance Minister
Nirmala Sitharaman unveiled a slew of measures post market hours on Friday to provide a much-needed healing touch to the economy and markets. She withdrew the new tax surcharge on overseas portfolio investors and restored pre-Budget provisions on long and short-term capital gains for both overseas and domestic investors.
The tax rollback is expected to have a favourable impact on foreign inflows next week, if global investors hold their nerves over trade war concerns. Data showed FPIs pulled out Rs 23,000 crore from domestic equities in July and August, after the Budget proposal to levy the surcharge on higher tax-income groups affected 40 per cent of FPIs, operating as trusts or AoPs, and made investment in Indian equities unattractive.
The FM also tried to ease liquidity flow and to make loans cheaper to boost consumer demand; unveiled steps to boost demand for cars to address the ongoing slowdown and introduced a transparent mechanism to end alleged tax harassment of businesses.
Nifty floor@10,500; midcaps to reward handsomely
Jhunjhunwala said the 10,500-10,750 range would act as a floor for Nifty50, which is unlikely to be broken easily. He sees opportunity in midcap stocks. “Whoever buys them at current levels will gain handsomely,” he said.
The Big Bull said the lower interest rate environment is here to say, but banks need to come back, and they ought to lend, he said.
The billionaire investor said savings will find home in financial markets, especially equities. He felt the ongoing US-China trade war would be a long-term positive for India.
What top brokerages say on FM's stimulus package
Winds of change
26 Aug, 2019
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman unveiled the much-awaited stimulus package this past weekend. The popular word on Street remained that such a move would cheer investors, but most brokerages believe that any recovery in the domestic economic will be some time away. Take a look:
Elara Capital
26 Aug, 2019
> Liquidity enhancing measures should revive demand at margin
> Economic recovery however some time away
> Decision on LTCG may lead to arrest in FII outflows
> Expects INR to see some stability after bearing the brunt of weak growth fundamentals
> Expects the Monetary Policy Committee to cut repo rate by an additional 40-50bp this fiscal
> Measures are sentimentally positive and are likely to act as a soothing balm to help stabilize the markets
JM Financials
26 Aug, 2019
> In a not so unanticipated move, Fin Min announced measures to revive economy
> Important to note that Govt is not turning a blind eye to the slowdown
> Preponnement of demand in autos (PVs from fleets, LCVs) can help reduce excess inventory
> Faster payment of GST refunds to MSMEs can help address some amount of liquidity concerns
> More measures seem to be coming to revive the real estate sector
> Not far away from fundamental buying levels if there are no big cuts to earnings from here
> Amongst segments of the markets, the small/midcap is at a discount to large cap
Motilal Oswal
26 Aug, 2019
> Booster from FM’s desk has come, more to follow
> Comprehensive package to lift growth and sentiment from Govt announced
> Will serve well to boost sentiment, which has been impaired of late due to economic slowdown
> Govt willingness to take feedback and act promptly may offset the pessimistic market narrative
> Timing-wise, it has come just ahead of the beginning of a long festival season
> Expectations of more measures over the next two weeks will likely drive a short-term bounce
> Sticking to fiscal prudence will ensure that the bond yields may ease from current levels
> Corporate Banks, NBFCs, Autos are the key beneficiaries of the measures unveiled
Kotak Securities
26 Aug, 2019
> Several positive announcements by the government to improve sentiment
> Surplus liquidity and repo-linked interest rates may lead to lower interest rates
> Lack of fiscal stimulus may disappoint sections of the industry and market
> Structural reforms can turn an adverse global situation into an once-in-a-lifetime opportunity
> China-US trade issue escalation will hurt global growth and investment mood