G20 says worsening trade wars pose risk to world economy

AFP  |  Fukuoka 

The world's top financial policymakers admitted Sunday that "intensifying" trade tensions pose a risk for the global economy, after a meeting that laid bare differences between the and other nations.

"Most importantly, trade and geopolitical tensions have intensified," the said in a statement seen by AFP, adding they "stood ready to take further action" if required.

As a compromise pushed by Washington, the statement omitted language from a previous draft that mentioned a "pressing need to resolve trade tensions".

The statement capped two days of talks in the western Japanese city of that also tackled the thorny issue of taxing and, for the first time, the economic challenges posed by ageing.

But trade battles were front and centre of policymakers' minds as the US and continue to threaten each other with tariffs that economists fear could slam the brakes on global growth.

The IMF has said US-tariffs could shave global GDP by 0.5 per cent in 2020 or about US$455 billion, stressing the need to resolve the differences to avoid plunging the into another crisis.

The G20 ministers heaved a sigh of relief just hours before the meeting when the US and clinched a deal over immigration that stopped imposing five percent tariffs on Mexican goods.

But US told reporters that stood ready to impose more tariffs on if and China's Xi Jinping fail to strike a deal at the G20 summit later this month in

"If China wants to come back to the table and negotiate on the basis that we were negotiating, we can get a great historic deal. If they don't, we'll proceed with our tariffs," Mnuchin told reporters on Saturday.

Taking a different line from the other policymakers, Mnuchin said the slowdown in some parts of the was not due to trade difficulties and even said the friction could benefit some countries if companies relocated from China to avoid tariffs.

"There will be winners and losers," said the

The quandary of reforming the global tax system to take into account the rise of such as and was another issue exercising the minds of policymakers in the coastal city.

In the final statement, the G20 agreed to "redouble our efforts for a consensus-based solution with a final report by 2020".

However, here again, the meeting exposed a difference of opinion over what form this reform should take.

Frustrated by a lack of global action on the issue, some countries such as Britain and have already introduced a so-called digital tax, but Mnuchin was blunt in his assessment of these policies.

"I would say the US has significant concerns with the two current taxes that are being proposed by and the UK but let me give them some good credit for proposing them in the sense (that) they have created an urgency to deal with this issue," Mnuchin said at a public meeting before the formal G20 started.

"Although I don't like them, I do appreciate the impetus for these issues," added the top US official.

Appropriately for a meeting held in -- which is on track to become the world's first "super-aged" society in which more than 28 percent of the population is over 65 -- the G20 ministers discussed for the first time the "challenges and opportunities" posed by ageing.

They suggested getting more women and elderly people into the workforce and "promoting elderly-friendly industries", as well as reforming the fiscal and systems to take into account ageing populations.

"You basically have a very large portion of mankind that is ageing and then the workforce is shrinking," told AFP in an interview.

Solving the issue will require wholesale changes to the way society is organised, added Gurria.

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Sun, June 09 2019. 13:55 IST