Fin24.com | Markets LIVE: Rand weaker as EM currencies feel the heat from US-China trade war

Markets LIVE: Rand weaker as EM currencies feel the heat from US-China trade war

2019-05-24 08:41

Fin24 team

"The dollar might be blowing off steam following a run to reach a two-year high, as the potential impact of the trade war on the US economy becomes evident, but emerging markets are definitely bearing the brunt of the uncertainty," says Bianca Botes from Peregrine Treasury Solutions.

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Last Updated at 11:15
10:29

The rand is weaker as EM currencies are bearing the brunt of the US-Chine trade uncertainty, says Peregrine Treasury Solutions's Bianca Botes.

By 10:28, the rand was changing hands at R14.42 to the greenback.

"The dollar might be blowing off steam following a run to reach a two-year high, as the potential impact of the trade war on the US economy becomes evident, but emerging markets are definitely bearing the brunt of the uncertainty.

"The rand broke through the R14.50/$ mark in overnight trade, signaling that another leg lower is on the cards. The SARB held interest rates unchanged yesterday in line with expectations.

"Domestic growth and the US-China trade war remain key concerns for the SARB. The European parliamentary elections continue, while the US is set to release durable goods data this afternoon. 

"The new leg weaker indicates an expected range of R14.42 to R14.56 for the day."


08:41

Stocks mixed on trade woes

Adam Haigh, Bloomberg

Stocks in Asia traded mixed, still on track for a third week of losses, as investors digested the latest trade war headlines. Treasuries steadied following Thursday’s rally.

Japanese shares were little changed, Chinese stocks edged higher and there were gains in U.S. and European equity futures.

Stocks in Korea and Australia retreated. After the close on Wall Street, President Donald Trump said that Huawei, which was put on a U.S. blacklist earlier this month, could be part of a trade pact with the country.

The rally in sovereign bonds showed signs of easing after yields on 10-year Treasuries touched the lowest since 2017. The dollar slipped and the euro pushed higher.

Elsewhere, Australia’s 10-year bond yield reached a fresh all-time low amid calls for as many as three central bank interest-rate cuts this year. The yuan was flat amid signs of stabilization from China’s central bank this week.

Ahead of a long US holiday weekend, concerns are mounting that the trade dispute could cripple global growth and disappointing US factory data Thursday showed the fragility of the expansion there.

“The trade war is going to cause growth to slow, both in the US and China, and therefore globally -- there is no doubt about that,” Komal Sri-Kumar, founder and president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies Inc., told Bloomberg TV in New York. “The trade war is taking on new dimensions.”

Meantime, the pound strengthened. Theresa May is set on Friday to announce a timetable for her resignation as UK Conservative Party leader and prime minister after a backlash over her Brexit plans, people familiar with the matter said.


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