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Tamil Nadu Exit Poll Results LIVE: Stalin Plots DMK Revival as Instability Dodges AIADMK

News18.com | May 19, 2019, 5:24 PM IST
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Tamil Nadu Exit Poll Results LIVE: Tamil Nadu didn’t vote in assembly elections this time, but the sentiment is nevertheless the same with 18 bypolls having the power to effect a regime change in the southern state. With 39 seats, Tamil Nadu will also play a crucial role in government formation at the Centre. The Tamil Nadu exit poll results will start trickling in once voting for the final phase of general elections ends this evening. This time, News18.com and CNN-News18 will bring to you the much awaited News18-IPSOS exit poll survey — a deep dive into the Indian elections with a detailed analysis of voter mood, trends and factors that defined the world’s largest democratic exercise.

Tamil Nadu, which accounts for the maximum number of Lok Sabha seats in south India at 39, went to polls this time bereft of its two tallest leaders, M Karunanidhi and J Jayalalithaa. The results on May 23 would be a reflection on who the electorate views as a viable alternative.
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May 19, 2019 5:24 pm (IST)

EPS-OPS Govt Faces Challenge | Ideally, the Edappadi Palaniswami, O Panneerselvam government must win at least 10 seats to last comfortably till 2021.

May 19, 2019 5:19 pm (IST)

If the DMK wins 21 of these assembly seats, it can stake claim to form the state government. The AIADMK, which still doesn’t have majority in the Assembly, has to win at least five of the 22 seats to remain in power. 

May 19, 2019 5:16 pm (IST)

Meanwhile, in fray for the state Assembly bypolls were arch rivals AIADMK and DMK along with Amma Makkal Munnetra Kazhagam leader T T V Dhinakaran, Kamal Haasan's Makkal Needhi Maiam and actor-director Seeman's Naam Tamizhar Katchi.

May 19, 2019 5:01 pm (IST)

In 2014, AIADMK swept the Lok Sabha polls with 37 of 39 seats in Tamil Nadu, which is always known to vote as a bloc. This time, there are 38 seats in contention in Tamil Nadu since polling in Vellore constituency was cancelled due to voter bribery.

May 19, 2019 4:56 pm (IST)

AIADMK Bid to Maintain Stronghold | The AIADMK will be looking to maintain its hold in the state. It has tried to form an alliance of seven parties by consolidating its caste base in every district. The AIADMK has tied up with parties such as the Vaniyar community-led Pattali Makkal Katchi (PMK) in its bid to stay in power.

May 19, 2019 4:42 pm (IST)

The results after counting on May 23 will be decisive for the regional politics, which has witnessed tumultous times post the AIADMK leader Jayalalithaa's demise. In the last two years, the ruling party saw a split within and an alliance with the BJP kindling negative sentiments against it.

May 19, 2019 4:33 pm (IST)

Bypolls to 22 Assembly Seats | The state also witnessed bypolls to 22 Assembly constituencies, which gains importance as it will decide the course of future for the present EK Palaniswami government at the state. In the 234-member state assembly, the AIADMK has a strength of 113, excluding the Speaker.

May 19, 2019 4:31 pm (IST)

Tamil Nadu, which accounts for the largest number of seats in South India, with 39 Lok Sabha seats, went to polls on April 18. This is the first time the state is witnessing the General Assembly polls without two of its tallest leaders M Karunanidhi and J Jayalalithaa.

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll Results LIVE: Stalin Plots DMK Revival as Instability Dodges AIADMK
Congress chief Rahul Gandhi is presented a sword by DMK president Stalin at a public meeting after unveiling a life-size statue of the late M Karunanidhi in Chennai on December 16, 2018. (PTI Photo)

The events of the last two years -- the split within the AIADMK, the tumultuous revamp of the Edappadi Palaniswamy government with O Panneerselvam as his deputy and the eventual alliance with the BJP – have led to quite a bit of negative sentiment towards the ruling party. The AIADMK was looking to tame this wave of anti-incumbency with its rainbow alliance of seven parties. It has tried to consolidate its caste base in every district by tying up with parties such as the Vaniyar community-led Pattali Makkal Katchi (PMK).

Typically, Tamil Nadu has always known to vote as a bloc. In the 2014 elections, the AIADMK swept the Lok Sabha elections, winning 37 of the 39 constituencies. In 2014, the AIADMK was in the opposition as the BJP had a brute majority to form a government at the Centre.

With pollsters ruling out absolute majority for any party, both the AIADMK and the DMK are hoping to play kingmakers for the BJP and the Congress, respectively, and hold a position of influence in such a ruling coalition.

This time, there are 38 seats in contention in Tamil Nadu since polling in Vellore constituency was cancelled due to voter bribery.
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