Exit Poll Results UP, Bihar LIVE: North India to Turn Saffron Again? Pollsters Divided, SP-BSP May Dent BJP Hopes

In 2014 general elections, all four seats in Himachal Pradesh were won by the BJP, while in 2009 all but one, Mandi, was saffronised.

NDA Leads in Second Phase | In the second phase of Lok Sabha polling, in which 95 seats went to polls, the NDA has got 50 to 54 seats in its kitty, according to News18’s IPSOS exit poll. The UPA lags behind with 31 to 35 seats in the second phase

NDA Takes Lead in Bihar Predicts ABP | Exit poll result predictions for Bihar by ABP Nielson say that the NDA alliance in the state is likely to win 34 seats. The UPA is predicted to win only six seats. In the 2019 polls, Nitish Kumar held to its grip on the backward castes, while the RJD tried to consolidate non-Yadav OBC votes hoping to make smaller allies. 

ABP Predicts AAP to Win 1 Seat in Delhi | The only exit poll survey where the AAP is predicted to have won a seat in Delhi is the ABP Nielsen survey. ABP predicts that AAP will win one seat in Delhi, while the BJP will the majority share of 5 out of 7 seats. The Congress party is predicted to win one seat.

The ABP Neilsen Exit poll survey predicts that in Jammu and Kashmr the PDP, BJP and the NCP will win 2 seats each. In the exit poll survey, the Congress is predicted to win no seats. 

Seat Prediction Divided in J&K | In Jammu and Kashmir, the India Today Axis Survey predicts that the National Conference party will win 2-3 seats and the Congress will win 0-1 seats. The survey also predicts that Mehbooba Mufti's PDP will not win any seat. The BJP in Jammu and Kashmir is predicted to win 2-3 seats. The competition in the Sri Nagar was between the National Conference and the People’s Conference, which is led by separatist-turned-politician, Sajad Lone, who was an ally of BJP in the last government of the state. The fight in Jammu and Udhampur LS constituency was mainly between the BJP and the Congress. To counter the BJP, National Conference and PDP supported Congress in Jammu.  

No Comeback for Congress Predicted in Haryana | The India Today Axis poll survey, before the Election Commission releases the results of the Lok Sabha polls, predicts that the BJP will win 8-10 in Haryana. The Congress is predicted to win 0-2 seats in the state. In 2014, the BJP won seven seats in Haryana, the INLD won two, while Congress won only one. The crucial factor in this Haryana election was the sizable and influential Jat votes. In the past, the INLD and the Congress have enjoyed support from the community. But with JJP in the picture, the equations could have gotten disturbed. 

The BJP will make a clean sweep in Himachal Pradesh predicts the Chanakya News24 Exit poll survey. The survey predicts that Congress will win no seats in the state, while the BJP will win all the four parliamentary seats.

In Chhattisgarh, the India Today Axis exit poll survey predicts that the BJP win 7-8 seats, while the Congress will win 3-4 seats. The BJP led alliance with All Jharkhand Students Union (AJSU) faced a spirited fight against the Congress led-four party coalition of The Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM), the Jharkhand Vikash Morcha (Prajatantrik) and the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), making an all-out bid for the saffron bastion. 

ABP Survey Predicts Loses for BJP in UP | The ABP Neilson Exit Poll survey predicts heavy losses for the BJP in West UP and Purvanchal. Out of the 53 seats, the party is predicted to only win 14 seats in West UP and Purvanchal. The BJP is predicted to win only one seat in the Bundelkhand region, while the survey says it will win only 7 seats in the Awadh region.

According to the News18-IPSOS Exit Poll survey, the NDA alliance is predicted to make a clean sweep of Phase 1 of the Lok Sabha elections. 

BJP Takes Lead in UP Till Phase 3 | The News18-IPSOS exit poll survey till Phase 3 of the Lok Sabha polls has predicted that the BJP will win 14-16 seats in Uttar Pradesh. The survey also predicts that the SP-BSP alliance will win 10-12 seats. Individually, both the SP and the BSP are predicted to win 4-5 seats each.

The Delhi India Today Axis Exit poll survey for Delhi predicts that the BJP will win 6-7 seats in the state. The Congress party is predicted to win only one seat in the capital city. The survey predicts AAP will none.  

The Times Now-VMR Exit poll survey for the state of Punjab predicts that the Congress will win 10 seats in the state. The BJP alliance is predicted to win three seats, while the AAP and the BSP will win none. 

Former Jammu and Kashmir chief minister Omar Abdullah takes to Twitter to mark the beginning of the release of Exit poll surveys by various organizations. 

Every single exit poll can’t be wrong! Time to switch off the TV, log out of social media & wait to see if the world is still spinning on its axis on the 23rd.

— Omar Abdullah (@OmarAbdullah) May 19, 2019

All the numbers shown till now are only based on the exit polls conducted for the first six phases of polling. The final numbers are still being tabulated and will be published soon.

For the state of Uttarakhand, the ABP Neilsen exit poll survey predicts that BJP will win 4 out of the five seats of the hill state. Congress is predicted to win only one seat. 

Apart from Varanasi, the prestige seat of Gorakhpur from where UP chief minister Yogi Adityanath has been an MP is also going to polls.

The ABP Exit Poll survey for the state of Uttar Pradesh has predicted that the SP-BSP-RLD alliance will a total of 56 seats this election. Congress is predicted to win only 2 seats, while the BJP is predicted to send lawmakers from 22 seats. In Western UP, the BSP and SP alliance is predicted to win 19 seats, while the BJP wins only six seats. 

Exit poll survey by Chanakya News24 predicts that the BJP win will all seven seats of Delhi. The poll predicts reduces the Congress and the AAP to a tally of no seats this election. AAP's fate as a political party rests on these elections. 

The Republic C-Voter exit poll survey the NDA will win a total of 38 out of 80 seats in Uttar Pradesh. Republic has predicted that the Gatbandhan of SP and BSP will win 40 seats, while its prediction reduces the Congress' UPA alliance to only 2 seats.  

The ABP Neilsen exit poll survey predicts a clean sweep by the SP-BSP alliance in Uttar Pradesh with the two parties winning 56 seats. The BJP, survey predicts will win 22 seats. The Congress party is predicted to win 2 seats. 

Accuracy of Exit Polls | Exit poll results are most eagerly awaited in the run-up to counting day on May 23. But the track record of these pollsters shows several hits and misses. More often than not, the predictions of even the most meticulous of pollsters wobble when confronted with the actual choice made by the ever-unpredictable voter.

How the Exit Poll Was Conducted | To envisage the number of seats likely to be won by each of the political parties (or alliances) contesting the general election, total 199 parliamentary constituencies were selected out of 543 constituencies across 28 states. Within the parliamentary constituencies, 796 assembly constituencies were selected, and then 4776 individual polling station areas were selected for conducting interviews. In each polling station, around 25 voters were randomly selected depending on the terrain and voter turnouts in that particular polling station. Total 1,21,542 voters were interviewed from 199 parliamentary constituencies.

The News18 Lok Sabha exit poll survey has been conducted by IPSOS, the world’s top international pollster that boasts a solid track record of predicting the electoral outcomes of several elections around the world with accuracy.

News18 Exit Polls with IPSOS | The month-and-a-half long Lok Sabha 2019 election exercise will come to an end today evening, paving the way for the findings of various exit poll surveys to start hitting the airwaves. This time, News18.com and CNN-News18 will bring to you the much awaited News18-IPSOS exit poll survey — a deep dive into the Indian elections with a detailed analysis of voter mood, trends, and factors that defined the world’s largest democratic exercise.

In BJP’s hopes of a second run to government formation in Delhi, phase seven much like the previous phase, and holds equal importance. All 13 seats going to polls on May 19 were won by the BJP in 2014. Similarly, 13 out 14 seats of east UP, polling for which was held on May 12, were also won by the BJP in the last general elections. This time around, however, the saffron party faces a major challenge from the SP-BSP-RLD alliance in the state.

A CRPF jawan, deployed at the residence of former Bihar chief minister Rabri Devi here, allegedly committed suicide by shooting himself from his service revolver. Giriayappa Kirasoor (29), a constable with 122 battalion of the CRPF, shot himself dead at the RJD leader's high-security Circular Road bungalow on Friday, Deputy Superintendent of Police (Secretariat) A K Prabhakar had said.

The UP elections this time witnessed a number of candidates from a non-political background being fielded by multiple parties to try their luck in the poll season. Former Principal Commissioner of Income Tax Department, Preeta Harit was fielded by the Congress from Agra Lok Sabha constituency. Another former bureaucrat, a 1978 batch IRS officer Girish Narayan Pandey contested the Lok Sabha elections from Lucknow with a Sarvodaya Bharat Party ticket. The Sarvodaya Bharat Party has also fielded a former member of the railway board, Mohammad Irshad from Pratapgarh. Surpriya Srinate, a Congress candidate from Maharajganj Lok Sabha seat that will go to polls in the seventh and final phase of the ongoing Lok Sabha elections on May 19, is a journalist by profession.  

J&K Polls Amid Violence |  The 2019 election was the first general elections being held in what has come to be known as the post-Burhan Wani phase in Jammu and Kashmir. On the three seats of the Sri Nagar Valley, elections were held in five phases. The competition here was between the National Conference and the People’s Conference, which is led by separatist-turned-politician, Sajad Lone, who was an ally of BJP in the last government of the state. The fight in the two seats of Jammu valley was mainly between the BJP and the Congress. To counter the BJP, National Conference and PDP supported Congress in Jammu.