Softwood Lumber Suppliers: Insights Into Future Supply to the US Market to 2030

Dublin, May 14, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The "Future Supplier of Softwood Lumber to the US Market - Supply and Demand Outlook 2017-2030" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.

The United States is the world's largest consumer and importer of softwood lumber and it is forecasted that wood consumption will increase in the future. The country mostly relies on domestically sourced lumber but import volumes to the US are substantial and reached 34% of total consumption in 2016.

Changes in the availability of timber resources and forecasted increases in wood raw-material costs for sawmills around the world are likely to impact the trade of softwood lumber to the US in the future. Any company, or individual, that needs to better understand the outlook for US lumber demand, and potential changes in future supply sources to the US softwood lumber market would benefit from the detailed insights that this new multi-client study provides.

The 215-page study covers:

I. Demand: Projected Demand for Softwood Lumber in the US for the period 2017-2030: Future lumber consumption is based on projections of housing starts (demographics, single/multi-family starts and average size), repair & remodeling expenditures and related softwood lumber consumption, and the evolution of other demand sectors including non-residential housing - CLT, and other industrial uses.

II. Supply: Projected Sources of Softwood Lumber Supply 2017-2030: This part centers on profiles of key supply regions including New Zealand, Chile, Brazil, Sweden, Eastern Canada, Western Canada, the US Northwest and the US South. Each profile analyzes the current supply and use of softwood logs in the region, a projection of future timber supply and log costs, an overview of the softwood sawmill industry and lumber production forecasts. Also included in the analysis is a lumber production cost model for product delivery to the US market. Mini-profiles are also provided for Germany, Finland, Latvia, and Russia.

III. Supply Curve Analysis: The study constructs a US softwood lumber supply curve using alternative projections of softwood lumber demand and supply on a delivered cost basis to identify the most likely suppliers to the US market, and discuss how delivered costs and trade may be impacted by changing sources of supply.

IV. Conclusions & Sensitivities: In addition to reporting results for various demand scenarios, the study considers sensitivities based on investment capital and exchange rates, and offers insight into the implications of the changing US softwood lumber situation on timberland investments.

Important Questions Addressed

• What is the Outlook for Softwood Lumber Production Capacity in the US South?
• Will European Sawmills be Competitive in the US Market in the Coming Decade?
• Can Chile Increase Softwood Lumber Exports to the US?
• How much will Lumber Shipments from British Columbia to the US Decline by 2030?
• Can Timber Harvests and Lumber production in Eastern Canada Increase in the Future?
• Can the US NW materially Increase Timber Harvests and will Log Exports Drop?
• Will Russia be an Important Softwood Lumber Supplier to the US in the Future?

Key Topics Covered

Findings & Implications

I. Demand for Softwood Lumber in the United States
a. Estimated Use of Industrial Roundwood in the US in 2017
b. Estimated Use of Softwood Lumber in the US in 2017
c. Drivers and Forecasts of Softwood Lumber Demand - Base Case
d. Softwood Lumber Forecast Sensitivities
e. References

II. US South Softwood Lumber Profile
a. Forest Resources and Conifer Roundwood Supply
b. Domestic Roundwood Consumption and End-Uses
c. Conifer Log Prices and Cost Drivers
d. Conifer Log Price Outlook to 2030
e. Lumber Production and Trade
f. Lumber Manufacturing Costs to the US Market
g. Outlook for Lumber Production and Exports, Total and to the US
h. References

III. US Pacific Northwest Softwood Lumber Profile
a. Forest Resources and Conifer Roundwood Supply
b. Domestic Roundwood Consumption and End-Uses
c. Conifer Log Prices and Cost Drivers
d. Conifer Log Supply Outlook to 2030
e. Conifer Log Price Outlook to 2030
f. Lumber Production and Trade
g. Lumber Manufacturing Costs to the US Market
h. Outlook for Lumber Production and Exports, Total and to the US
i. References

IV. Western Canada Softwood Lumber Profile
a. Forest Resources and Conifer Roundwood Supply
b. Domestic Roundwood Consumption and End-Uses
c. Conifer Log Prices and Cost Drivers
d. Conifer Log Supply Outlook to 2030
e. Conifer Log Price Outlook to 2030
f. Lumber Production and Trade
g. Lumber Manufacturing Costs to the US Market
h. Outlook for Lumber Production and Exports, Total and to the US
i. References

V. Eastern Canada Softwood Lumber Profile
a. Forest Resources and Conifer Roundwood Supply
b. Domestic Roundwood Consumption and End-Uses
c. Conifer Log Prices and Cost Drivers
d. Conifer Log Supply Outlook to 2030
e. Conifer Log Price Outlook to 2030
f. Lumber Production and Trade
g. Lumber Manufacturing Costs to the US Market
h. Outlook for Lumber Production and Exports, Total and to the US
i. References

VI. New Zealand Softwood Lumber Profile
a. Forest Resources and Conifer Roundwood Supply
b. Domestic Roundwood Consumption and End-Uses
c. Conifer Log Prices and Cost Drivers
d. Conifer Log Exports
e. Conifer Log Supply Outlook to 2030
f. Conifer Log Price Outlook to 2030
g. Lumber Production and Trade
h. Lumber Manufacturing Costs to the US Market
i. Outlook for Lumber Production and Exports, Total and to the US
j. References

VII. Chile Softwood Lumber Profile
a. Forest Resources and Conifer Roundwood Supply
b. Domestic Roundwood Consumption and End-Uses
c. Conifer Log Prices and Cost Drivers
d. Conifer Log Supply Outlook to 2030
e. Conifer Log Price Outlook to 2030
f. Lumber Production and Trade
g. Lumber Manufacturing Costs to the US Market
h. Outlook for Lumber Production and Exports, Total and to the US
i. References

VIII. Brazil Softwood Lumber Profile
a. Forest Resources and Conifer Roundwood Supply
b. Domestic Roundwood Consumption and End-Uses
c. Conifer Log Prices and Cost Drivers
d. Conifer Log Supply Outlook to 2030
e. Conifer Log Price Outlook to 2030
f. Lumber Production and Trade
g. Lumber Manufacturing Costs to the US Market
h. Outlook for Lumber Production and Exports, Total and to the US
i. References

IX. Sweden Softwood Lumber Profile
a. Forest Resources and Conifer Roundwood Supply
b. Domestic Roundwood Consumption and End-Uses
c. Conifer Log Prices and Cost Drivers
d. Conifer Log Supply Outlook to 2030
e. Conifer Log Price Outlook to 2030
f. Lumber Production and Trade
g. Lumber Manufacturing Costs to the US Market
h. Outlook for Lumber Production and Exports, Total and to the US
i. References

X. The Baltic - Historic Exporters of Softwood Lumber

a. Germany
i. Forest Resources and Conifer Roundwood Supply
ii. Conifer Log Prices and Log Price Outlook
iii. Softwood Lumber Production and Trade
iv. Outlook for Lumber Exports to the US
v. References

b. Finland
i. Forest Resources and Conifer Roundwood Supply
ii. Conifer Log prices and Log Price Outlook
iii. Softwood Lumber Production and Trade
iv. Outlook for Lumber Exports to the US
v. References

c. Latvia
i. Forest Resources and Conifer Roundwood Supply
ii. Conifer Log prices and Log Price Outlook
iii. Softwood Lumber Production and Trade
iv. Outlook for Lumber Exports to the US
v. References

d. North-western Russia
i. Forest Resources and Conifer Roundwood Supply
ii. Conifer Log Prices and Log Price Outlook
iii. Softwood Lumber Production and Trade
iv. Outlook for Lumber Exports to the US
v. References

XI. US Softwood Lumber Market Supply Curve Analysis
a. Methodology and Key Variables
b. Log Price Forecasts
c. The 2016 Supply Curve
d. Base Case Supply Curve Analysis
e. Sensitivities - High Demand Scenario
f. Sensitivities - Low Demand Scenario
g. Sensitivities - Base Case Demand - Alternative Supply Scenario
h. Sensitivities - Base Case Demand - 23-year Fx
i. References

For more information about this report visit https://www.researchandmarkets.com/r/25q5gk

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Related Topics: Wood and Wood Products