Highlights
In the penultimate phase of polling, BJP on Sunday will look at gains in West Bengal and will seek to minimise losses in states where it performed at saturation-level the last time around.
Of the 59 seats polling, the Narendra Modi-led BJP alliance won as many as 46 seats in 2014. It marks the peak that a party can dream of, having won 13 of the 14 seats in Uttar Pradesh, seven of 10 in Haryana, seven of eight in MP, all eight in Bihar, all seven in Delhi and all four in Jharkhand.
While BJP is seen as well placed in Haryana and Bihar, a divided opposition in Delhi has given it a strong opening for the second time in a row. In UP, however, the battle now moves to the eastern region where the social arithmetic of the opposition combine makes the task tougher for BJP.
In Haryana, BJP is banking on the “Jat vs non-Jat” polarisation, the result of the violence during the Jat quota agitation of 2016. Besides, the votes of the large and influential Jat community may get divided between Congress, INLD and its breakaway faction, JJP. Such a situation could also favour BJP.
In Delhi, BJP has the onerous task of defending all seven seats but here the opposition is divided between Aam Aadmi Party and Congress. The two parties held talks for a tie-up but could not close the protracted negotiations.
The situation may be a bit tricky in Bihar which has 40 seats. Here, BJP-JD(U)-LJP combine is facing off with RJD-Congress-VIP-RLSPHUM. The caste politics of Bihar is seen as pitted against the “Modi factor”.
Having swept the 14-seat Jharkhand last time, BJP is faced with a “grand alliance” of JMM, Congress and JVM, in what is being seen as a tough contest.
But betting big on Bengal, BJP would now hit the tribal pocket of Jhargram-Purulia-Midnapore-Bankura-Bishnupur where it is fancying its chances. Here, it performed well in the panchayat elections of 2018.
In Video:Lok Sabha elections: BJP's fate depends on phase 6 voting
Of the 59 seats polling, the Narendra Modi-led BJP alliance won as many as 46 seats in 2014. It marks the peak that a party can dream of, having won 13 of the 14 seats in Uttar Pradesh, seven of 10 in Haryana, seven of eight in MP, all eight in Bihar, all seven in Delhi and all four in Jharkhand.
While BJP is seen as well placed in Haryana and Bihar, a divided opposition in Delhi has given it a strong opening for the second time in a row. In UP, however, the battle now moves to the eastern region where the social arithmetic of the opposition combine makes the task tougher for BJP.
In Haryana, BJP is banking on the “Jat vs non-Jat” polarisation, the result of the violence during the Jat quota agitation of 2016. Besides, the votes of the large and influential Jat community may get divided between Congress, INLD and its breakaway faction, JJP. Such a situation could also favour BJP.
In Delhi, BJP has the onerous task of defending all seven seats but here the opposition is divided between Aam Aadmi Party and Congress. The two parties held talks for a tie-up but could not close the protracted negotiations.
The situation may be a bit tricky in Bihar which has 40 seats. Here, BJP-JD(U)-LJP combine is facing off with RJD-Congress-VIP-RLSPHUM. The caste politics of Bihar is seen as pitted against the “Modi factor”.
Having swept the 14-seat Jharkhand last time, BJP is faced with a “grand alliance” of JMM, Congress and JVM, in what is being seen as a tough contest.
But betting big on Bengal, BJP would now hit the tribal pocket of Jhargram-Purulia-Midnapore-Bankura-Bishnupur where it is fancying its chances. Here, it performed well in the panchayat elections of 2018.
In Video:Lok Sabha elections: BJP's fate depends on phase 6 voting
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