The Congress Manifesto 2019, released on Tuesday, makes several promises to voters such as minimum income guarantee (NYAY), filling vacant government jobs, a separate Kisan Budget, Right To Healthcare, a simpler GST and increased expenditure on education.
But promises like these come with a price tag. The higher the cost, the more the financial burden on the economy. So, here's a quick look at some of the poll promises and the money needed to fulfill them:
The Congress proposal will cost Rs 3.60 lakh crore annually. In the first year, the cost of this scheme will be close to 1 per cent of the GDP, which will increase to 1.5 per cent in the second year.
Congress has promised to fill all 4 lakh central government positions before March 2020, while persuading states to fill another 20 lakh vacancies in the state government. Strangely, while Congress President announced 22 lakh new jobs, the manifesto actually adds up to 34 lakh new jobs, which includes 10 lakh seva mitra positions in every gram panchayat and urban local bodies.
The minimum salary offered to a central government employee after implementation of 7th pay commission is Rs 18,000 which amounts to an annual package of Rs 2.16 lakhs. Filling up all 4 lakh vacant position in the central government as promised in the Congress manifesto would cost a bare minimum of Rs 8,640 crores annually to the exchequer. Filling up another 20 lakh jobs at state level will cost a lot more.
Congress manifesto thus puts an additional burden of around Rs 10 lakh crore on the Budget. Given that India's budgeted expenditure for 2019-20 is barely Rs 27.84 lakh crore, the Congress proposals appear profligate.
Assume the government of India's earning continues to grow at 12-14 per cent per annum from the Rs 24.57 lakh crore in 2018-19, that would still be just about Rs 45 lakh crore by 2023-24. Of that, by the time the next government ends its 5-year tenure in 2023-24--if it's a Congress government--it will be required to spend around Rs 10 lakh crore annually on its new schemes. That's not going to be possible since the Centre's current expenses towards increments to employees, interest payouts, escalation on infrastructure projects and social schemes is already growing at a rate faster than its income.