Oil Extends Decade-Best Run as China Data Eases Slowdown Worries

(Bloomberg) -- Oil extended gains above $60 a barrel on signs the world’s second-largest economy is stabilizing, and as investors hope for a breakthrough in U.S.-China trade talks that will resume this week.

Crude futures rose as much as 0.9 percent in New York, after capping their strongest quarter since 2009. China’s manufacturing PMI, the first official economic gauge for March, eased worries over the global economic outlook and boosted sentiment across financial markets. Chinese Vice Premier Liu He is set to travel to Washington to meet U.S. negotiators from Wednesday, as well as have a sit-down with President Donald Trump.

Oil rallied 32 percent in the first quarter as Saudi Arabia led the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies in squeezing supplies to prevent a glut. The trade war between the world’s two biggest economies and signs of slowing global economic growth has limited further gains.

“There is bullish sentiment around on economic growth after some pretty good China data over the weekend and oil is probably following the equity markets,” said Jeffrey Halley, a Singapore-based senior market analyst at Oanda Asia Pacific Ltd.. If there’s a breakthrough in the trade talks, “we should see another leg up again,” he said.

West Texas Intermediate for May delivery gained 43 cents to $60.57 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 2:38 p.m. in Singapore. The contract rose 1.4 percent to $60.14 on Friday. It climbed the most since June 2009 last quarter.

Brent for June settlement was 0.9 percent higher at $68.19 on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The May contract expired Friday. The global benchmark crude was at a premium of $7.47 to WTI for the same month.

China’s manufacturing purchasing managers index recorded its biggest increase since 2012 last month, exceeding all estimates by economists. Asian equity investors celebrated the data Monday morning, pushing a key benchmark to its highest level since October.

Meanwhile, Russia’s energy ministry offered evidence that the country’s production cuts were accelerating as it aims to reach its pledged target by the end of this month. Energy Minister Alexander Novak and his Iranian counterpart, Bijan Namdar Zanganeh, are set to discuss a possible extension of the OPEC+ agreement that expires in June when they meet Monday.

Other oil-market news
  • Working oil rigs in the U.S. fell by eight this week to 816, according to data released Friday by oilfield-services provider Baker Hughes. The weekly rig count has only risen three times in 2019
  • Hedge funds’ wagers on rising benchmark oil prices in New York and London have jumped to the highest levels since October as fresh evidence of tightening global supplies emerged.

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