Cool ‘March’ to continue, hints forecast of IMD
Neha Madaan | TNN | Mar 16, 2019, 13:07 IST
Picture used for representational purpose onlyPUNE: This March could end on a cool note.
Most parts of the country saw cooler than normal temperatures in the first 15 days of the month. The upcoming week, and probably the next fortnight, is likely to be no different.
The second fortnight of March is likely to be cooler than normal in major parts of India, as per the latest extended range forecast of the India Meteorological Department (IMD). The Met department said the forecast flow patterns and temperature anomalies suggest that no major “heat wave situation” was likely to develop over India during the next two-week period, beginning Friday.
A caveat would not be out of place, though. The extended range forecast is generally accurate up to the first week of the forecast period.
The forecast said cooler than normal day temperature was likely over major parts of northwest, central and western parts of the country. Coastal areas of Andhra Pradesh, interior Odisha, interior Tamil Nadu, north Kerala, interior Karnataka, Konkan, Goa and Gujarat may experience above-normal day temperature (2-3 degrees more than the climatological average) on most of the days except during March 20–23, when it could fall to the near-normal range.
The extended range forecast said the night temperature was also likely to remain below normal by 2-4 degrees over major parts of India during the next two weeks. There could be brief periods of warmer than normal nights in scattered pockets comprising Karnataka, Rayalaseema and interior Maharashtra.
An IMD official told TOI that as per the extended range forecast, cooler than normal day temperature was likely over major parts of northwest, central and western parts of the country, but it might still be summer-like. “Western disturbances are continuing to affect the country this month too, keeping the day temperature normal to slightly below normal in parts of the country,” he said.
He said large-scale factors and local conditions in some regions were currently keeping a major heat wave spell at bay.
Medium range forecasts also suggest that ‘near-heat-wave-like conditions’ may develop in isolated parts of south Maharashtra (including parts of Vidarbha) and south peninsula India, but a major heat wave can be ruled out during the next five days.
Anupam Kashyapi, head of weather, IMD, said there seem to be no chance of heat wave conditions in north Madhya Maharashtra, extreme western parts of Vidarbha, north Marathwada and north Konkan and Goa during the next five days.
“South Maharashtra (including parts of Vidarbha) may see a gradual rise in day temperature around March 17 to 19 and witness ‘near-heat-wave’ conditions, but not an actual heat wave. After that, another strong western disturbance is approaching. It will show its impact around March 21, causing moisture feeding and slight fall in the day temperature. Thus, chances of maximum temperature reaching a heat wave condition are minimum in central India, including Maharashtra, for some time,” Kashyapi said.
Most parts of the country saw cooler than normal temperatures in the first 15 days of the month. The upcoming week, and probably the next fortnight, is likely to be no different.
The second fortnight of March is likely to be cooler than normal in major parts of India, as per the latest extended range forecast of the India Meteorological Department (IMD). The Met department said the forecast flow patterns and temperature anomalies suggest that no major “heat wave situation” was likely to develop over India during the next two-week period, beginning Friday.
A caveat would not be out of place, though. The extended range forecast is generally accurate up to the first week of the forecast period.
The forecast said cooler than normal day temperature was likely over major parts of northwest, central and western parts of the country. Coastal areas of Andhra Pradesh, interior Odisha, interior Tamil Nadu, north Kerala, interior Karnataka, Konkan, Goa and Gujarat may experience above-normal day temperature (2-3 degrees more than the climatological average) on most of the days except during March 20–23, when it could fall to the near-normal range.
The extended range forecast said the night temperature was also likely to remain below normal by 2-4 degrees over major parts of India during the next two weeks. There could be brief periods of warmer than normal nights in scattered pockets comprising Karnataka, Rayalaseema and interior Maharashtra.
An IMD official told TOI that as per the extended range forecast, cooler than normal day temperature was likely over major parts of northwest, central and western parts of the country, but it might still be summer-like. “Western disturbances are continuing to affect the country this month too, keeping the day temperature normal to slightly below normal in parts of the country,” he said.
He said large-scale factors and local conditions in some regions were currently keeping a major heat wave spell at bay.
Medium range forecasts also suggest that ‘near-heat-wave-like conditions’ may develop in isolated parts of south Maharashtra (including parts of Vidarbha) and south peninsula India, but a major heat wave can be ruled out during the next five days.
Anupam Kashyapi, head of weather, IMD, said there seem to be no chance of heat wave conditions in north Madhya Maharashtra, extreme western parts of Vidarbha, north Marathwada and north Konkan and Goa during the next five days.
“South Maharashtra (including parts of Vidarbha) may see a gradual rise in day temperature around March 17 to 19 and witness ‘near-heat-wave’ conditions, but not an actual heat wave. After that, another strong western disturbance is approaching. It will show its impact around March 21, causing moisture feeding and slight fall in the day temperature. Thus, chances of maximum temperature reaching a heat wave condition are minimum in central India, including Maharashtra, for some time,” Kashyapi said.
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