Oil prices stable on trade hopes\, but record U.S. output weighs

Oil prices stable on trade hopes, but record U.S. output weighs

Reuters  |  SINGAPORE 

By Gloystein

Despite this, prices remained below 2019 peaks reached earlier this week as U.S. production hit a record 12 million barrels per day (bpd) and its exports also surged.

International Brent crude futures were at $67.15 per barrel at 0707 GMT, 8 cents above their last close, but below $67.38 per barrel reached earlier this week.

U.S. Intermediate (WTI) futures were at $57.06 per barrel, up 10 cents, but below this week's $57.55 per barrel 2019 high.

Traders said prices were lifted from earlier drops by hopes that and could resolve their trade disputes, which have dented global economic growth, before a March 1 deadline, during negotiations this week.

Prices have also been supported by supply cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

OPEC and some non-affiliated producers such as agreed late last year to cut output by 1.2 million bpd to prevent a large supply overhang from growing.

said in a note it expects OPEC output to average 31.1 million bpd in 2019, down from 31.9 million bpd.

At least in part offsetting that is surging U.S. crude oil production, which reached 12 million bpd for the first time last week, the (EIA) said on Thursday.

That means U.S. crude output has soared by almost 2.5 million bpd since the start of 2018, and by a whopping 5 million bpd since 2013. is the only country to ever reach 12 million bpd of production.

As output surges, U.S. are also rising.

U.S. commercial rose by 3.7 million barrels to 454.5 million barrels in the week ended Feb. 15, the EIA said.

Analysts say U.S. output will rise further and that will export more oil to sell off surplus stocks.

"We see total U.S. crude production hitting 13 million bpd by year-end, with 2019 averaging 12.5 million bpd," U.S. said following the release of the EIA report.

Of that, the said, "we could be seeing some weeks with

4.6 million bpd of gross crude exports by end-year, adding to this week's new record" of 3.6 million bpd.

With U.S. supply surging, said it expected non-OPEC supply to grow by 1.9 million bpd this year, more than offsetting the OPEC cuts.

That means much will depend on demand, which Goldman said it expected to grow by 1.4 million bpd this year.

Given the supply and demand picture, Goldman said "we expect $60-$65 per barrel Brent prices, on average, in 2019 and 2020."

(Reporting by Gloystein; Editing by and Tom Hogue)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Fri, February 22 2019. 12:54 IST