Oil near 2019 highs amid OPEC cuts\, U.S. sanctions

Oil near 2019 highs amid OPEC cuts, U.S. sanctions

Reuters  |  SINGAPORE 

By Gloystein

But soaring production and expectations of an economic slowdown look set to cap prices, analysts said.

Intermediate (WTI) futures hit 2019 highs of $56.39 per barrel shortly after 0300 GMT on Wednesday, up 30 cents, or 0.5 percent, from their last settlement.

International Brent crude futures were at $66.58 per barrel, up 13 cents, or 0.2 percent, from their last close and not far off their 2019 high of $66.83 per barrel from Monday.

prices have been supported by supply cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

OPEC-member and top crude exporter is expected to reduce shipments of to in March as part of the effort to tighten markets.

OPEC as well as some non-affiliated producers such as agreed late last year to cut output by 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) to prevent a large supply overhang from swelling.

"We have lowered Saudi in line with announcements ... (and) are now assuming that will produce in the first three quarters of 2019 less than the 10.31 million bpd target it agreed to at the Dec. 7 OPEC, non-OPEC meeting," French said in a note.

Because of the cuts, BNP said it expected "to rally through Q3 2019", with Brent to average $73 per barrel by then and WTI to average $66.

Another key has been U.S. sanctions on and

Despite the sanctions, Iran's crude exports were higher than expected in January, averaging around 1.25 million bpd, according to Refinitiv ship tracking data. Many analysts had expected to drop below 1 million bpd after the imposition of U.S. sanctions last November.

SHALE BOOM, WEAKER ECONOMY

Standing against the supply cuts and sanctions is U.S. crude output, which soared by more than 2 million bpd in 2018 to a record 11.9 million bpd, thanks to booming shale oil production, which the on Tuesday said was expected to keep rising.

said surging U.S. output would feed into lower towards the end of the year, with Brent to dip to an average of $67 a barrel by the fourth quarter and WTI to average $61.

"U.S. oil production growth, driven by shale, will be increasingly exported in greater volumes to international markets while the global economy is expected to witness a synchronised slowdown in growth," the said.

(Reporting by Gloystein; Editing by and Richard Pullin)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Wed, February 20 2019. 09:12 IST