Brent dips\, but still set for biggest Q1 rise since 2011

Brent dips, but still set for biggest Q1 rise since 2011

Reuters  |  LONDON 

By Amanda Cooper

LONDON (Reuters) - eased on Monday, but remained on track for its strongest first quarter in eight years, thanks to a growing belief among investors that OPEC's supply cuts will prevent a build-up in unused fuel.

Brent futures were down 17 cents at $66.08 a barrel by 1018 GMT, having touched a 2019 high of $66.83, while U.S. futures were up 30 cents at $55.89 a barrel.

has risen nearly 25 percent so far in 2019 and is on course for its strongest first-quarter performance since 2011, thanks largely to a commitment by the Organization of the Exporting Countries and allies to cut output.

"Our numbers ... do tell us that we are looking at the tightest H1 balance in many years and, as such, a certain degree of price support does simply make sense for the time being," consultancy said in a note.

Refiners around the world are also having to pay more to secure supplies of the medium, or heavy, sour crudes produced by and Venezuela, both of which are under U.S. sanctions.

The broader financial markets eased a little, after data showing a drop in Chinese in January raised concerns about the world's second-largest economy.

Some of this weakness rubbed off on the market, but analysts said the overall trend in prices remained convincingly upwards for now.

"There are lots of 'ifs' and 'buts' that could have a profound impact on oil prices; just think of the unpredictable Donald Trump, Brexit, trade talks or an eventual pick-up in Libyan and/or Venezuelan production," said.

"Latest available data, however, point in the direction of a tightening market. It is not recommended to swim against the current and presently the 'oil' river is flowing north."

U.S. increased the number of looking for new supply by three, to a total of 857, firm said in a report last Friday.

(Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein; Editing by Dale Hudson)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Mon, February 18 2019. 16:39 IST