Global Markets: Weak China data pauses Fed-inspired rally in stocks

Reuters  |  LONDON 

By Ritvik Carvalho

Stocks have benefited this week from the U.S. Federal Reserve, which all but abandoned plans for further rate hikes, and on optimism that a U.S.-trade deal might be on the cards.

But the Caixin/Markit index of Chinese fell to its lowest since February 2016, adding to a growing list of economic readings indicating slowing global growth.

MSCI's All Country World Index, which tracks stock markets in 47 countries, came off its highest level since Dec. 4 after its best January gain on record - up 7.79 percent on the month.

The weak Chinese data also took MSCI's broadest index of shares outside down 0.2 percent, though that followed a 7.2 percent gain in January.

The Australian dollar, a liquid barometer of investor sentiment towards China, skidded half a percent.

The mood was slightly better in Europe, as strong earnings helped offset the Chinese survey. The pan-European STOXX 600 index was up 0.2 percent, with most European bourses slightly positive.

Purchasing managers indexes in for and came in below expectations, although those for Germany, and the euro zone were in line with forecasts.

Equity markets have been relieved by a change of heart at the U.S. Federal Reserve, which signalled this week that its three-year drive to tighten monetary policy may be at an end amid a suddenly cloudy outlook for the U.S.

As it held interest rates steady, also discarded its promises of "further gradual increases" in interest rates and said it would be "patient" before making any further moves.

"The Fed (Federal Reserve) decision should not only be supportive of risk markets, but also the weaker dollar backdrop could be extended, which should support EM assets, especially at a time when is attempting to stimulate growth," said Mohammed Kazmi, at

"The market will now turn its attention to the outcome of U.S.-China trade talks as well as the U.S. data."

Jobs data from the is due at 1330 GMT.

Stocks had also gained after U.S. said he would meet Chinese soon to try to seal a comprehensive trade deal as the top U.S. reported "substantial progress" in the talks.

Beijing's trade delegation said the talks made "important progress", China's official agency reported.

The previously upbeat mood was also chilled somewhat by insistence that March 1 was a hard deadline for a deal, a failure of which would lead to an increase in U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods.

"Analysts mostly remain deeply sceptical that a genuine trade deal can be done on this time frame," economists from Commonwealth of Australia said in a note.

"We are less pessimistic since these negotiations are being conducted by senior politicians, not by trade bureaucrats," they added. "Both sides also have an incentive, and arguably a growing incentive, to get a meaningful deal done."

The optimism supported Wall Street with the S&P 500 ending Thursday with a gain of 0.86 percent. The Nasdaq jumped 1.37 percent on the back of a near 11 percent rise in The Dow slipped 0.06 percent.

Over January, the S&P 500 rose 7.9 percent, its best monthly performance since late 2015 and its strongest start to a year since 1987. The Nasdaq gained 9.7 percent in the month and the Dow rose 7.2 percent.

Against a basket of currencies, the dollar was flat at 95.581 thanks in part to a pullback in the euro to $1.1453.

The single currency had taken a knock when painted an unusually bleak picture of the German economy, saying the slump will last longer than initially thought.

Gold prices hovered just short of nine-month highs supported by the fall in bond yields and expectations for a softer dollar.

Spot gold stood at $1,318.41 per ounce, having touched a top of $1,326.30.

were subdued as the China data offset signs major exporters were reducing output in line with a pact to cut supply.

U.S. crude futures fell 0.4 percent to $53.56 per barrel, while Brent fell 0.3 percent to $60.65.

(Reporting by Ritvik Carvalho; additional reporting by in Sydney; Editing by Janet Lawrence)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Fri, February 01 2019. 15:24 IST