CANADA: Sales dip lends early credence to bearish 2019 forecast
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February 01, 2019 03:39 PM

CANADA: Sales dip lends early credence to bearish 2019 forecast

Greg Layson
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    Greg Layson

    Ford F series trucks on sale.

    Canada Light-Vehicle Sales, January
      Jan.
    2019
    Jan.
    2018
    %
    change
    BMW 2,088 2,378 -12.20%
    Mini 264 301 -12.30%
    Rolls-Royce* 10 9 11.10%
    BMW Group 2,362 2,688 -12.10%
    Alfa Romeo 39 96 -59.40%
    Chrysler 389 719 -45.90%
    Dodge 3,183 4,353 -26.90%
    Ram 5,880 5,406 8.80%
    Fiat 36 42 -14.30%
    Jeep 4,664 7,145 -34.70%
    FCA CANADA 14,191 17,761 -20.10%
    Maserati 51 88 -42.00%
    Fiat Chrysler Automobiles 14,242 17,849 -20.20%
    Ford 15,655 15,940 -1.80%
    Lincoln 499 521 -4.20%
    Ford Motor Co. 16,154 16,461 -1.90%
    Buick* - - -
    Cadillac* - - -
    Chevrolet* - - -
    GMC* - - -
    General Motors* - - -
    Acura 907 1,098 -17.40%
    Honda 9,886 12,007 -17.70%
    Honda Canada 10,793 13,105 -17.60%
    Genesis 51 30 70.00%
    Hyundai 6,366 5,200 22.40%
    Hyundai Auto Canada 6,417 5,230 22.70%
    Kia Canada 3,548 3,253 9.10%
    Hyundai-Kia Automotive 9,965 8,483 17.50%
    Jaguar 190 258 -26.40%
    Land Rover 562 601 -6.50%
    Jaguar Land Rover N.A. 752 859 -12.50%
    Mazda Canada 3,745 4,416 -15.20%
    McLaren Automotive* 30 4 650.00%
    Mercedes-Benz 2,887 3,566 -19.00%
    Smart 19 20 -5.00%
    Mercedes-Benz Canada 2,906 3,586 -19.00%
    Mitsubishi 1,442 1,244 15.90%
    Infiniti 673 819 -17.80%
    Nissan 7,294 8,017 -9.00%
    Nissan Group 7,967 8,836 -9.80%
    Nissan/Mitsubishi 9,409 10,080 -6.70%
    Subaru 3,143 3,221 -2.40%
    Tesla* 2,350 230 921.70%
    Lexus 1,467 1,314 11.60%
    Toyota 12,778 11,168 14.40%
    Toyota Canada 14,245 12,482 14.10%
    Audi 1,850 2,130 -13.10%
    Bentley* 20 12 66.70%
    Lamborghini* 19 18 5.60%
    Porsche 382 373 2.40%
    VW 4,008 4,327 -7.40%
    VW Group 6,279 6,860 -8.50%
    Volvo Cars N.A. 528 439 20.30%
    Other** 22 21 4.80%
    CANADA LIGHT VEHICLE 96,925 100,784 -3.80%
    *Jan. totals are estimated.
    ***Reflects Aston Martin, Ferrari and Lotus sales estimates.

    New-vehicle sales in January fell 5.4 percent to 111,225 units sold when compared with the same month last year, according to the Automotive News Data Center in Detroit, lending early credence to bearish 2019 forecasts. 

    Scotibank Economics earlier this week predicted new-vehicle sales in Canada would total 1.93 million units in 2019 and 1.9 million in 2020, down from more than the two million sold in 2018 and record 2.04 million sold in 2017.

    Still, the January 2019 sales didn’t discourage the head of the Global Automakers of Canada, which represents Asian car companies here.

    “January sales in 2018 represented a record for the month so these results are still very encouraging,” David Adams said in a statement. “We’ve known for some time the sales are slowing down, last year was evidence of that, but the sky is not falling – January’s sales were still above the average for the last five years of sales for January.”

    Total passenger car sales in were down about 14 percent while truck sales were down five percent, according to Adams.

    The Ford F series truck was the country’s top-selling vehicle while the Honda Civic was Canada’s best-selling passenger car in January.

    Trucks continued to grow their share of the market last month, up to 75.1 percent compared with 73.2 percent of total sales in January 2018.

    At least two automakers — Hyundai and Toyota — are off to roaring sales starts, despite the 2019 forecasts and after a drop in both industry-wide December and annual sales to close out 2018.

    Here’s a look at how some of the automakers fared in January:

    Nissan down

    Nissan Canada’s total sales were down 10 percent in January.

    The Nissan division sold 7,294 vehicles, down nine percent over the same month last year. Luxury Infiniti sales fell 18 percent to 673 units.

    One bright spot was the Nissan Qashqai compact crossover, which finished January with 1,213 units sold, an increase of 13.5 percent from 2018.

    The Nissan Leaf all-electric vehicle had its best January ever with 247 units sold.

    But Sentra sales were down by nearly half to 521 units. The Rogue crossover, despite being the automaker’s top seller, saw its sales decline 24 percent to 1,811 units.

    Ford dips slightly

    Ford Canada’s total sales slipped two percent in January, down to 16,154 vehicles.

    Ford brand sales were down 1.8 percent to 15,655 while Lincoln dropped 4.2 percent to 499 units.

    The automaker didn’t immediately release month-over-month sales comparisons of individual nameplates.

    The F series truck continued to be the company’s best-selling vehicle at 8,554 units sold. Ford, which is exiting the car market all together, sold just 939 cars in January with the Fusion leading the way at 279.

    GM sales fall 15%

    General Motors saw its sales drop 15 percent, one month after a 30-per-cent decline in December.

    GM Canada will no provide brand or model breakdowns moving forward and is still considering a move to quarterly reporting, a spokeswoman told Automotive News Canada on Thursday. 

    The company does intend to provide a breakdown of car and truck totals as well as a comparison of retail and fleet sales.

    Toyota rises 14%

    Toyota Canada total sales, including its luxury Lexus line, were up 14 percent in January.

    Toyota brand car sales were up 21 percent to 4,428 units while Toyota truck sales rose 14 percent to 8,350.

    Yaris, Corolla and Camry sales all posted gains of more than 20 percent. Corolla was the top-selling car by volume with 2,734 sold, up 24 percent over last year.

    RAV4 continued to be the automaker’s top-selling vehicle with 3,630 sold, a 32-per-cent gain over last January.

    While Lexus car sales were off eight percent, truck sales were up 16 percent with the NX being the top-selling luxury vehicle for the automaker with 450 sold.

    The numbers lend credence to Toyota’s philosophy about the car market.

    "There are still people out there looking for passenger cars," Bill Fay, senior vice-president of automotive operations at Toyota Motor North America, told Automotive News in December. "And if there are less options out there in the market, I guess we figure, for now, that's good for us."

    Hyundai, Kia surge

    Hyundai and Kia sales were up in January compared to the same month in 2018.

    Hyundai sales surged 22 percent to 6,366 vehicles. The Elantra remained the automaker’s top-selling car at 1,899 sold while the Tucson was Hyundai’s best-selling truck at 1,366 units. The Kona wasn’t far behind with 1,211 sold.

    The automaker’s luxury brand, Genesis, sold 51 vehicles in January, up from 30 last year.

    “The momentum we generated in the second half of last year is simply continuing in 2019.  Our year-over-year gains came from our North American Utility of the Year, Kona and Kona EV, as well as our top-selling volume model Elantra,” Hyundai Canada CEO Don Romano said in an email to Automotive News Canada. 

    Romano said the company’s fleet volume was up slightly but its overall fleet sales “were relatively small, less than four percent of the industry fleet sales.”

    “The overall gains in Hyundai and Genesis sales were predominately from stronger retail business,” Romano said.

    Meanwhile, Kia sales were up nine percent to 3,548 vehicles. The Forte was its best-selling car at 847 units while the Sorento was the top-selling truck at 812.

    FCA Canada sinks 20%

    FCA Canada sales plunged 20 percent in January to 14,191 vehicles compared with the same period last year. Ram was the only one of six brands to post a sales gain, up nine percent over last year. Most of those gains were on the back of the Ram pickup, which saw a salesjump nine percent to 5,496 units. The automaker’s Ram ProMaster Van line saw sales sink 19 percent to 269 units. 

    Jeep sales were off 35 percent. The subcompact Compass posted a gain of 51 percent to 816 units. Grand Cherokee sales were also up 13 percent to 1,155 units. But those gains couldn’t offset huge losses elsewhere. Wrangler sales plunged 56 percent to 1,639 units and Cherokee sales slumped 42 percent to 1,003 sold.

    Chrysler sales were down 46 percent with Pacifica sales off 47 percent to just 277 sold. 

    Dodge fell 27 percent with the Durango — up 74 percent to 700 units — and a 184-per-cent increase in Challeneger sales (270 units) as the only bright spots. Caravan sales were down 43 percent and Journey sales dropped 39 percent.

    Low-volume Fiat fell 14 percent and luxury Alfa Romeo was down 59 percent.

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