Friendly Fed fires world stocks to best January on record

Reuters  |  LONDON 

By Marc Jones

The said it would pause its 3-year interest rate rise campaign while assessing the weakening of the economy.

Crucially, it also said that the rundown of its balance sheet - or the stockpile of bonds it has accumulated over the past 10 years of quantitative easing - could slow too.

That ticked all the boxes for financial markets, and saw Europe's bulls push London, and up 0.7 to 1 percent after Wall Street and then had both charged overnight.

Added together it lifted the $4 trillion MSCI world stocks index, which tracks 47 countries, up 0.5 percent and for the 20th day out of the last 23.

For January it is up more than 7.2 percent which is its best January since the index began in 1988 and the best performance in any month since December 2015.

"The rally really does lift all boats," said Pictet emerging

The gains were matched in bond markets. Benchmark yields, which tend to set the bar for global borrowing costs, had dived significantly and Europe's big move saw Italian 2-year yields hit their lowest since May.

But was all pain for the dollar. It was struggling near a three-week trough against its major peers and emerging market currencies rose almost in unison having been steamrollered by the greenback last year.

"Risk assets are dancing in the streets and the dollar's down in the dumps," said.

"We may yet get a (Fed) rate hike in June, but if what matters is where policy's heading in the medium term, the FX market would overlook that and sell the dollar anyway."

U.S. stocks were also expected to open higher later after the Fed's boost had dovetailed with reassuring tech earnings on Wednesday, and with due to report later.

shares had jumped almost 7 percent after it soothed its worries. shares then leapt 11 percent after hours after it had reported better-than-expected profits following a year of high profile data scandals.

MSCI's broadest index of shares then rose to its highest since October helped by a 1 percent jump on Japan's Nikkei which shrugged off the normal headwind of a higher yen.

The main emerging market index skipped to a more than 8 percent January gain. [EMRG/FRX] while the Shanghai Composite Index climbed 0.3 percent despite data showing China's factory activity contracted for a second straight month.

RE-EMERGING MARKETS

With the decision out of the way, investors focused their attention on a pivotal round of high-level U.S.-trade talks aimed at easing a months-long tariff war.

The two-day talks which began in on Wednesday are expected to be tense, with little indication so far that is willing to address core U.S. demands to budge on trade practices and fully protect American intellectual property rights.

If the two sides cannot reach a deal soon, has threatened to more than double tariffs on Chinese goods on March 2.

In the commodity markets, rose for a third day, pushed up by lower imports into the amid OPEC efforts to tighten the market, and as struggles to keep up its crude exports after imposed sanctions on the nation.

U.S. Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $54.47 per barrel, up 24 cents, or 0.4 percent, from their last settlement. Brent was up 36 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $62.01 per barrel.

Back in the currency markets, the pound was a shade higher at $1.3127, while gold held near an eight-month high of $1,323 an ounce hit in the previous session as its buyers also cheered the weak dollar.

"The dropped a commitment to gradual rate hikes from its policy statement ... U.S dollar's plunge alongside treasury bond yields have burnished the relative appeal of gold," said Ilya Spivak, senior currency with

(Additional reporting by in and in Bangalore; Editing by Alison Williams)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Thu, January 31 2019. 15:56 IST