US could see \'zero\' growth in first quarter if shutdown continues\, says White House chief economist

US could see 'zero' growth in first quarter if shutdown continues, says White House chief economist

Press Trust of India  |  Washington 

The US could post zero economic growth in the first quarter if the does not reopen, the of Donald Trump's said Wednesday.

"If [the shutdown] extended for the whole quarter, and given the fact that the first quarter tends to be low because of residual seasonality, then you could end up with a number very close to zero in the first quarter, Kevin Hassett, of the White House (CEA), said in an interview to

Asked whether GDP growth could hit zero in the quarter, he said, "Yes, we could."

At the same time, he asserted that the second quarter would be humongous if the government reopened. "It would be like four or five per cent," Hassett said.

He also said the chances of a recession in 2020 is close to zero. "They're very, very close to zero," he said.

"We have so much momentum. There was just a great industrial production number. We just had a great jobs number. There's a lot of momentum carrying into this year. The government shutdown adds a lot of uncertainty. You're starting to see that uncertainty in some pieces of data," Hassett said.

The shutdown over Trump's demand for USD 5.7 billion for a wall along the Mexican border entered 33rd day on Wednesday, with little sign of relief for the roughly 800,000 federal workers going without pay.

Hassett said talks with are moving forward and exuded confidence that the US can reach a trade deal with before the March 1 deadline.

Trade negotiations between and have stretched for months amid their tit-for-tat trade war. The countries reached a 90-day truce following Trump's meeting with Chinese in on December 1 last year.

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Thu, January 24 2019. 00:25 IST