Fix your roofs as sun still shining: Lagarde on global economic prospects

Press Trust of India  |  Davos 

In a strong message to the world economies, IMF said on Thursday they should fix the roofs when sun was still shining.

Explaining the recent lowering of IMF growth forecast for the global economy, she said the forecast for two major economies have not been revised as yet.

"Sun is still shining, so please fix the roofs. This is the message we are giving with our modest downward revision to global economic growth," said here at a session of the

"We have not revised our forecast for US and as they have take certain steps that would keep them growing," the IMF said.

While noting that there are some major risks that could precipitate, said if Chinese economy slows down a bit, that would be fine but if they fall faster then that could be a problem.

On Monday, the (IMF) cut its global growth projections for 2019 and 2020 to 3.5 per cent and 3.6 per cent respectively, citing slowdown in several advanced economies around the world more rapidly than previously anticipated.

The revised global growth rates are 0.2 and 0.1 percentage point below its

previous projections made three months ago.

Lagarde said the US-trade war was the biggest risk to the global economy, while Brexit uncertainty was the second biggest risk.

The trade tension with the US is the major risk we are seeing that could precipitate a slowdown of the Chinese economy, she said. That it is slowing down is fine if it is under control. But if the slowdown was excessively fast, that would be a real issue.

For the US, the growth forecast has been left unchanged. The American economy is expected to decline to 2.5 per cent in 2019 and soften further to 1.8 per cent in 2020 with the unwinding of fiscal stimulus and as the federal funds rate temporarily overshoots the neutral rate of interest, as per the IMF.

Similarly, the IMF has projected a growth rate of 6.2 per cent for Chinese economy in 2019 as well as 2020. The forecast is unchanged from that made in October 2018.

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Thu, January 24 2019. 16:25 IST