China trims 2017 GDP growth rate just before 2018 pace unveiled

Reuters  |  BEIJING 

(Reuters) - China's statistics bureau on Friday revised down its final 2017 (GDP) growth to 6.8 percent from 6.9 percent, after scaling back initial estimates of the industrial and services sector.

The revised the final 2017 GDP to 82.08 trillion yuan ($12.11 trillion), down 636.7 billion yuan from the preliminary number.

The revision came ahead of Monday's release of preliminary GDP growth figures for the latest quarter and full-year 2018.

Julian Evans-Pritchard, senior at Capital Economics, said of the 2017 revision "it's only because GDP figures are so stable (in China) that it actually seems like a big deal. But I don't think it really changes anything."

Evans-Pritchard said the trim suggests" greater tolerance to publish lower growth figures", which indicates is "probably willing to not loosen policy quite aggressively, as they are willing to tolerate slower growth."

Analysts expect to roll out more stimulus measures to shore up sliding growth but Chinese authorities have repeatedly said the government won't resort to massive stimulus.

Sources have told that plans to set a lower economic growth target of 6-6.5 percent in 2019.

Final 2017 data shows the secondary sector - and construction that account for 40 percent of GDP - grew 5.9 percent in 2017 to 33.3 trillion yuan. That compared with the bureau's initial estimate of a 6.1 percent increase.

Growth in services, the fastest growing sector in 2017, was revised down 4.2 percentage points to 21.8 percent, with output totalling 2.64 trillion yuan.

Growth estimates for construction, financial and leasing sectors were all revised lower.

The latest poll has forecast full-year growth of 6.6 percent for 2018 and 6.3 percent this year.

($1 = 6.7762 Chinese yuan)

(Reporting by Stella Qiu and Kevin Yao; Editing by Shri Navaratnam and Richard Borsuk)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Fri, January 18 2019. 09:47 IST