Everything's a Buy in China as Bulls Snap Up Yuan, Stocks, Bonds
(Bloomberg) -- The yuan is taking the spotlight again in a week when Chinese rates, credit, stocks and currency markets all managed to rise.
It’s having a stellar January only months after touching a decade-low, beating almost every other currency in the world this week. It also had its best week since 2005 relative to the dollar, with analysts saying a short squeeze may have exacerbated moves first triggered by a dovish Federal Reserve and signs of improving Sino-U.S. trade relations. A number of technical indicators suggest more gains are coming.
This seems to be typical behavior for the tightly-managed currency, with sharp breakouts in either direction following a stretch of relative calm. The question is whether the latest bout of strength is an anomaly or the start of a trend -- an important one for foreign investors looking to own yuan-denominated stocks or government bonds.
What’s certain is that all the reasons to be bearish on the yuan are still there: China’s economy is weakening and the central bank is in easing mode.
Read more: |
Shareholders Unbound
Perhaps the biggest story in Hong Kong’s equity market this week was Xiaomi Corp.’s meltdown. Many early shareholders cashed in as soon as their mandatory post-float holding period ended, with some making a fortune even though the IPO itself was a flop (by one measure, the city’s biggest flop ever). After the Chinese smartphone maker lost more than $6 billion in three days, analysts no longer predict it will recover its HK$17 issue price, according to the average price target.
There are another 40-odd companies in Hong Kong whose lockup periods expire in the first quarter, including other high-profile debuts like China Tower Corp., Meituan Dianping and Haidilao International Holding Ltd. A reminder that the city hosted the busiest venue for stock debuts last year.
Read more: |
Chart of the week
Options traders have cut their yuan short bets so quickly they’ve even turned slightly bullish. Read more here.
Catching up
Here’s what else caught our eye:
©2019 Bloomberg L.P.