Oil prices rise by more than 1 percent on China-U.S. trade talks\, OPEC cuts

Oil prices rise by more than 1 percent on China-U.S. trade talks, OPEC cuts

Reuters  |  SINGAPORE 

By Gloystein

Brent crude futures were at $56.60 per barrel at 0741 GMT, up 65 cents, or 1.2 percent, from their last close.

U.S. Intermediate (WTI) futures were at $47.61 per barrel, up 52 cents, or 1.1 percent.

Both benchmarks are on track for solid gains in the first week of 2019 trading despite rising concerns that the Sino-American trade war will lead to a global economic slowdown.

The firmer prices came after China's commerce ministry said it would hold vice-ministerial level trade talks with U.S. counterparts in on Jan. 7-8.

The two nations have been locked in a trade war for much of the past year, disrupting the flow of hundreds of billions of dollars worth of goods and stoking fears of a global economic slowdown.

Data for December from the (ISM) on Thursday showed the broadest U.S. slowdown in growth in a decade.

Leading economies in and have already reported a fall in

U.S. said in a note following the release of the data that the weak data "increased the downside risks to an already moderating global growth outlook."

Japan's said in its 2019 market outlook that "on the demand side, oil has not been immune from the broad cross-asset sell-off as global growth concerns...mount downside pressure on oil demand".

OPEC CUTS

Despite the turmoil, have received some support as supply cuts announced by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) kick in.

OPEC-supply fell by 460,000 barrels per day (bpd) between November and December, to 32.68 million bpd, a survey found on Thursday, although some of the fall were involuntary disruptions in and Libya, which are exempt from cuts.

"Isolating the participating countries indicates their output would need to fall a further 940,000 bpd to be in adherence with their targets," U.S. investment Jefferies said.

OPEC and non-members led by - an alliance known as OPEC+ - agreed last December to reduce supply by 1.2 million bpd in 2019 versus October 2018 levels to rein in an emerging fuel glut.

The fuel surplus was in part depicted by light distillate fuel stocks at Singapore's refining hub climbing to a record 16.1 million barrels in by January.

Considering the planned cuts versus ongoing increases in U.S. crude production, which hit a record 11.7 million bpd by late 2018, FGE said it expected Brent prices to range between $55-$60 per barrel in the first months of 2019.

Some analysts doubt the OPEC+ group is able to support prices in the longer term, however.

"OPEC+ strategy for supporting prices over market share is not working, said bank.

"Not only are down nearly 40 percent since October (2018), they are in fact now below where they were when the group began their first iteration of output cuts back in January 2017," the Japanese bank said.

said this was "a clear indication" that OPEC+'s interventionist strategy to support was not working.

(Reporting by Gloystein; Editing by and Tom Hogue)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Fri, January 04 2019. 13:31 IST