Swedish central government payments resulted in a surplus of SEK 15.6 billion in November. The Debt Office's forecast was a surplus of SEK 24.8 billion. The difference was mainly due to higher expenditure and higher net lending to government agencies than expected.
The central government's primary balance was SEK 4.4 billion lower than forecast. This was partly due to higher expenditure from some government agencies such as the Swedish Board of Agriculture and the Legal, Financial and Administrative Services Agency. The tax income were approximately SEK 1 billion lower than calculated.
The Debt Office's net lending to government agencies etc. was SEK 4.9 billion higher than forecasted. The difference can partly be explained by the expected transfer of guarantee funds by the Swedish Export Credit Agency from a foreign currency account in a bank to an account in the Swedish National Debt Office by the 20th of December. Some of the guarantee funds were forecasted to be transferred in November. All of the guarantee funds will be received by the Swedish National Debt office in December. The deposits from the Swedish Pensions Agency were also lower than forecasted in November.
Interest payments on central government debt were SEK 0.1 billion lower than forecast.
For the twelve-month period up to the end of November 2018, central government payments resulted in a surplus of SEK 88.8 billion.
Central government debt amounted to SEK 1,210 billion at the end of November.
The outcome for December will be published on 9 January 2019 at 9.30 a.m.
Contact
Sofia Nilsson, Economist +46 (0)8 613 47 34
Press Secretary, +46 (0)8 613 47 01
Central government net borrowing requirement1 (SEK million) | |||||
Outcome November | Forecast November | Deviation November | Acc. Dev2 | Outcome 12-month | |
Net borrowing requirement | -15 617 | -24 838 | 9 222 | 16 430 | -88 782 |
Primary balance3 | -15 377 | -19 803 | 4 426 | 13 266 | -97 783 |
Net lending to agencies etc.4 | -1 188 | -6 067 | 4 879 | 2 822 | -2 785 |
Interest payments on central government debt | 948 | 1 032 | -84 | 342 | 11 786 |
- Interest on loans in SEK | 929 | 1 066 | -137 | 316 | 12 783 |
- Interest on loans in foreign currency | -10 | -14 | 4 | 24 | -338 |
- Realised currency gains and losses | 30 | -20 | 50 | 3 | -659 |
1 The net borrowing requirement corresponds to the budget balance with opposite sign. | |||||
2 Sum of monthly forecast deviations since last forecast (October 2018). | |||||
3 Net of the state's primary expenditure and income. | |||||
4 The net of government agencies etc. deposits and loans in the state's internal bank. The net lending includes | |||||
both current government operations and temporary occurrences which can be decided on short notice. The net | |||||
lending affects the net borrowing requirement and central government debt, but are not covered by the | |||||
Central government expenditure ceiling. |
More data on the borrowing requirement and government debt:
https://www.riksgalden.se/en/For-investors/Borrowing-and-the-government-debt/
The monthly outcome of the central government net borrowing requirement is included in the official statistics of Sweden.
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