Oil limps higher after rout\, investors remain glum

Oil limps higher after rout, investors remain glum

Reuters  |  LONDON 

By Amanda Cooper

Brent crude futures were last up $1.16 on the day at $59.96 a barrel by 1044 GMT, while U.S. futures were up 69 cents at $51.11 a barrel.

The gains partly made up for Friday's sell-off.

"It is difficult to say whether $60 is the new normal, as there doesn't seem to be a 'normal' at the moment," and gas analyst said.

"The recent weakness seems dramatic given the lack of actual catalysts - it seems to have been driven by a wider impending sense of doom amidst weak equities, geopolitics, subsequent softening demand and increasing supply," he said.

The International Energy Agency predicts global demand will top 100 million barrels a year in 2019, growing at a rate of 1.4 million barrels per day, but this is down from its initial assessment in June of 1.5 million bpd.

A rising dollar that has undercut demand in key emerging market economies, higher borrowing costs and the threat to global growth from the escalating trade dispute between the and have pushed investors out of assets that are more closely aligned with the global economy, such as equities or oil.

In November alone, hedge funds have pulled more than $12 billion out of the oil market, based on a record drop in net long holdings of Brent and U.S. crude futures and options against the for the month.

"2019 will be a choppy year for the as questions surrounding the prospect of a slowing global and a supply surplus are expected to increase," analysts at said on Monday.

Fitch said that even an expected supply cut led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) following an official meeting on Dec. 6 "may not be enough to counteract the bearish forces".

The options market shows that investors in Brent crude, which is more closely linked to OPEC output, have increased their holdings of contracts that give the owner the right, but not the obligation, to sell below the current benchmark futures price, by 10 percent.

This compares with an increase of just 4.5 percent in holdings of options that give the owner the right to buy above the current price by a certain date.

(Additional reporting by in SINGAPORE; Editing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Mon, November 26 2018. 16:55 IST