It’s not just about powering growth. It’s also about national security and self-sufficiency.
China wants to build homegrown champions in cutting-edge industries that rival Western giants like Apple and Qualcomm. While China has a long way to go, the Communist Party is bringing the full financial weight of the state and forcing other countries to play defense.
In doing so, China is staking out a new manufacturing model.
Economic textbooks lay out a common trajectory for developing nations. First they make shoes, then steel. Next they move into cars, computers and cellphones. Eventually the most advanced economies tackle semiconductors and automation. As they climb up the manufacturing ladder, they abandon some cheaper goods along the way.
That’s what the United States, Japan and South Korea did. But China is defying the economic odds by trying to do all of them.
Look at the evolution of what China sells to the rest of the world. As it ramped up its manufacturing engine in 2000, China was pretty good at making basic products like toys and umbrellas.
Both the Apple iPhone and Huawei Mate 10 are assembled in Chinese factories. Both rely on pieces from outside China.
Unless China can catch up, it will remain vulnerable. One of China’s largest telecom companies, ZTE, nearly went out of business when it was banned from buying American parts; President Xi Jinping personally asked for a reprieve from President Trump — and got it.
China knows it has a problem. It’s investing heavily in electric cars, semiconductors and mobile technology, part of a major industrial policy.
And the trade war has also hardened China’s resolve. “The initial result of the trade war has made China appear to be weaker,” said Liu Rui, an economics professor at Renmin University in Beijing. “But it is precisely this weaker position that has awakened China, forcing us to change our approach.”
@NewYorkTimes