Taking a closer look at Fletcher Building, shares have dived to a six-year low of $4.73 on the ASX or a 14-year low of $NZ5.06 in New Zealand. Management said this morning earnings before significant items will be 10 per cent lower for the half year ending December 2018, compared to the same period in 2017. This is due to "emerging challenging Australian trading conditions" and the timing of house sales in Fletcher's residential division. It lowered guidance for the 2018-19 year to be between $630 million and $680 million due to the slowdown in the Australian housing market.
"While the company continues to target a result at the top end of this range, it is prudent at this stage in the year to highlight that 2018-19 earning will be impacted by the outage at the Golden Bay Cement plant, the slowdown in the Australian residential market, and the reduction in Land Development earnings compared to last year," the company's statement said. While Fletchers was planning to recommence dividends, this will now depend on trading conditions.
New chief executive Ross Taylor told the company's annual general meeting New Zealand's housing market is softer but "present levels of activity are sustainable" in the medium term as long as immigration levels are "not overly curtailed."
"In Australia, residential activity accounts for about 40 per cent of our end market exposure. Here we have seen a sharp contraction in new residential consents in the most recent quarter. This is particularly evident in the apartment or multifamily portion of the market," he said. The Australian team is 'factoring in a weaker Australian residential market than we had previously assumed". However, the project pipeline on the east coast of the continent looks strong for the medium term.