Oil seesaws on reported Iran sanction waivers\, hopes U.S.-China trade spat can be resolved

Oil seesaws on reported Iran sanction waivers, hopes U.S.-China trade spat can be resolved

Reuters  |  SINGAPORE 

By Gloystein

Front-month Brent crude futures were at $72.88 per barrel at 0737 GMT on Friday, 1 cent below their last close. They first fell on Friday on surging supplies, before rising with global markets and then dipping again on the back of the reported sanctions waivers.

U.S. Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were down 33 cents, or 0.5 percent, at $63.36 a barrel.

Global markets, including oil, were lifted earlier on Friday by hopes that the trade dispute between the world's two biggest economies could be resolved soon.

Pulling crude back down, however, was a report that several governments had received waivers that would still allow countries to import some Iranian crude once U.S. sanctions are reimposed from next week.

The has agreed to let eight countries, including close allies and Japan, as well as India, keep buying Iranian aid the upcoming sanctions, reported on Friday, citing a U.S.

A Chinese told that discussions with the were ongoing and that a result was expected over the next couple of days.

A list of all countries getting waivers is expected to be released officially on Monday, several briefed industry sources said.

Despite these efforts, analysts said any potential Iranian sanction waivers would likely only be temporary.

said it expects Iran's exports to fall to 1.15 million bpd by the end of the year, down from around 2.5 million bpd in mid-2018.

"We still expect that the global will be in deficit in 4Q18," the U.S. said.

By the end of 2019, however, Goldman expects Brent to fall to $65 a barrel, largely due to "the unleashing of Permian (U.S. shale) supply growth once new pipelines come online."

SUPPLY SURGE

Beyond sanctions, has been rising significantly in the past two months.

data showed on Friday that the country pumped 11.41 million barrels per day (bpd) of in October, a 30-year high, and up from 11.36 million bpd in September.

The Middle East-dominated (OPEC) boosted in October to 33.31 million bpd, a survey found this week, up 390,000 bpd from September and the highest by OPEC since December 2016.

In the United States, crude production has established itself well over 11 million bpd, putting the U.S. in a neck and neck race with for the title of top

With pumping 10.65 million bpd in October, combined output from the top-three is at a record 33.41 million bpd, meaning that Russia, the and meet more than a third of the world's almost 100 million bpd of consumption.

"This surge has driven the market into oversupply," Jefferies said.

(Reporting by Gloystein; Editing by and Joseph Radford)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Fri, November 02 2018. 13:32 IST