CALGARY, Alberta, Nov. 01, 2018 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Commenting on third quarter 2018 results, Steve Laut, Executive Vice-Chairman of Canadian Natural stated, "The strength of our well balanced and diverse portfolio, combined with Canadian Natural's ability to effectively and efficiently execute, delivered a strong third quarter for the Company. Record quarterly adjusted funds flow of over $2.8 billion was achieved in the third quarter and adjusted funds flow of $7.9 billion was achieved in the first nine months of 2018. Capital allocation continued to be balanced amongst our four pillars to maximize shareholder value. In the first nine months of 2018, economic resource development remained disciplined at 40% of adjusted funds flow. Returns to shareholders were robust at 26% of adjusted funds flow and 31% of adjusted funds flow was allocated to the balance sheet further strengthening our financial position. Lastly, the Company executed on minor tuck-in acquisitions, 3% of adjusted funds flow, that add optionality and significant future value.

Based on the significant progress made to date in strengthening the Company's balance sheet as well as the sustainability of Canadian Natural's free cash flow, the Board of Directors has approved a more defined free cash flow allocation policy in accordance with the Company's four stated pillars. Under the new policy, the Company will target to allocate, on an annual basis, 50% of its residual free cash flow, after budgeted capital expenditures and dividends, to share purchases under its Normal Course Issuer Bid (“NCIB”) and the remaining 50% to reducing debt levels on the Company's balance sheet. This free cash flow policy will target a ratio of debt to adjusted 12 months trailing EBITDA of 1.5x and an absolute debt level of $15.0 billion, at which time the policy will be reviewed by the Board. At present, this policy is expected to be in place until at least the Company's NCIB renewal in May 2019, subject to quarterly review by the Board of Directors. This policy is effective November 1, 2018."

Canadian Natural's President, Tim McKay, added, "Operations were strong in the third quarter of 2018 across our large, balanced and diverse asset base. The planned turnaround at our Horizon operations was successfully completed under budget and production ramped up on schedule. Our focus on effective and efficient operations resulted in strong quarterly unadjusted operating costs of $22.90/bbl (US$17.52/bbl) of Synthetic Crude Oil ("SCO") and adjusted operating costs of $19.95/bbl (US$15.26/bbl) of SCO at our Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading operations. International production volumes were strong in the quarter and exceeded previously issued Q3 guidance as a result of the successfully completed 2018 drilling program in the North Sea and strong production from a newly drilled well in Offshore Africa. Our International light crude oil volumes receive Brent pricing which averaged US$75.46/bbl in the third quarter, generating significant adjusted funds flow. Thermal in situ quarterly production volumes averaged 112,542 bbl/d, exceeding Q3/18 guidance, primarily due to the cyclical nature of steaming cycles and from production resuming following the completion of planned maintenance activities in Q2/18, as a result of proactive and strategic decisions made earlier in the year.

Canadian Natural maintains a flexible and disciplined capital allocation strategy with a focus on maintaining a strong financial position and delivering significant shareholder value. In light of current market conditions driven by market access restrictions, lack of fiscal competitiveness and regulatory uncertainties, the Company will exercise its capital flexibility and allocate capital to those areas that maximize shareholder value. Canadian Natural will continue to make strategic decisions to reduce drilling activity, delay well completions and shut in production. The effectiveness of our strategies, combined with our ability to execute on these strategies, allows us to be nimble, capture opportunities and be more sustainable through these challenges."

Canadian Natural's Chief Financial Officer, Corey Bieber, continued, "In the third quarter Canadian Natural continued to deliver on its commitment to strengthen the balance sheet. The Company achieved quarterly net earnings of $1,802 million and record quarterly adjusted funds flow of $2,830 million, contributing to absolute net long-term debt reduction of approximately $2,880 million year to date. In the quarter, available liquidity improved to $5,350 million, an increase of approximately $550 million from the second quarter of 2018. Debt to adjusted EBITDA strengthened to 1.7x and debt to book capitalization improved to 36.8% over the quarter. Our focus on returns to shareholders has resulted in $2,030 million being returned to shareholders, in the first nine months of 2018, by way of dividends of $1,156 million and share purchases of $874 million. Subsequent to the quarter, an additional 6,900,000 shares were purchased at a weighted average share price of $38.66. Our balance sheet strength gives us the flexibility to deliver our defined growth plan and continue to drive long-term shareholder value creation."

HIGHLIGHTS

  Three Months Ended  Nine Months Ended
            
($ millions, except per common share amounts)  Sep 30
 2018
   Jun 30
 2018
   Sep 30
 2017
    Sep 30
 2018
   Sep 30
 2017
 
Net earnings $1,802  $982  $684   $3,367  $2,001 
Per common share– basic $1.48  $0.80  $0.56   $2.75  $1.72 
 – diluted $1.47  $0.80  $0.56   $2.74  $1.71 
Adjusted net earnings from operations (1) $1,354  $1,279  $229   $3,518  $838 
Per common share– basic $1.11  $1.05  $0.19   $2.88  $0.72 
 – diluted $1.11  $1.04  $0.19   $2.86  $0.72 
Cash flows from operating activities  $3,642  $2,613  $2,522   $8,724  $5,824 
Adjusted funds flow (2) $2,830  $2,706  $1,675   $7,859  $5,040 
Per common share– basic $2.32  $2.20  $1.38   $6.42  $4.34 
 – diluted $2.31  $2.19  $1.37   $6.39  $4.32 
Cash flows on (from) investing activities $1,265  $1,138  $1,960   $3,772  $12,028 
Net capital expenditures (3) $1,473  $974  $2,094   $3,550  $15,986 
            
Daily production, before royalties           
Natural gas (MMcf/d) 1,553  1,539  1,664   1,568  1,664 
Crude oil and NGLs (bbl/d) 801,742  793,899  759,189   816,539  665,399 
Equivalent production (BOE/d) (4) 1,060,629  1,050,376  1,036,499   1,077,953  942,776 
  1. Adjusted net earnings from operations is a non-GAAP measure that the Company utilizes to evaluate its performance. The derivation of this measure is discussed in the Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”).
  2. Adjusted funds flow (previously referred to as funds flow from operations) is a non-GAAP measure that the Company considers key as it demonstrates the Company’s ability to fund capital reinvestment and debt repayment. The derivation of this measure is discussed in the MD&A.
  3. Net capital expenditures is a non-GAAP measure that the Company considers a key measure as it provides an understanding of the Company’s capital spending activities in comparison to the Company's annual capital budget. For additional information and details, refer to the net capital expenditures table in the Company's MD&A.
  4. A barrel of oil equivalent (“BOE”) is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet (“Mcf”) of natural gas to one barrel (“bbl”) of crude oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl). This conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation, since the 6 Mcf:1 bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In comparing the value ratio using current crude oil prices relative to natural gas prices, the 6 Mcf:1 bbl conversion ratio may be misleading as an indication of value.

OPERATIONS REVIEW AND CAPITAL ALLOCATION

Canadian Natural has a balanced and diverse portfolio of assets, primarily Canadian-based, with international exposure in the UK section of the North Sea and Offshore Africa. Canadian Natural’s production is well balanced between light and medium crude oil, primary heavy crude oil, Pelican Lake heavy crude oil, bitumen and SCO (herein collectively referred to as “crude oil”), natural gas and NGLs. This balance provides optionality for capital investments, facilitating improved value for the Company’s shareholders.

Underpinning this asset base is long life low decline production from the Company's Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading, thermal in situ oil sands and Pelican Lake heavy crude oil assets. The combination of low decline, low reserve replacement cost, and effective and efficient operations means these assets provide substantial and sustainable adjusted funds flow throughout the commodity price cycle.

Augmenting this, Canadian Natural maintains a substantial inventory of low capital exposure projects within its conventional asset base. These projects can be executed quickly and with the right economic conditions, can provide excellent returns and maximize value for shareholders. Supporting these projects is the Company’s undeveloped land base which enables large, repeatable drilling programs which can be optimized over time. Additionally, by owning and operating most of the related infrastructure, Canadian Natural is able to control a major component of its operating cost and minimize production commitments. Low capital exposure projects can be quickly stopped or started depending upon success, market conditions, or corporate needs.

Canadian Natural’s balanced portfolio, built with both long life low decline assets and low capital exposure assets, enables effective capital allocation, production growth and value creation.

Drilling Activity

 Nine Months Ended Sep 30
   
 20182017
(number of wells)Gross Net Gross Net 
Crude oil402 381 395 370 
Natural gas19 15 19 19 
Dry7 7 4 4 
Subtotal428 403 418 393 
Stratigraphic test / service wells617 524 238 238 
Total1,045 927 656 631 
Success rate (excluding stratigraphic test / service wells) 98% 99%

North America Exploration and Production

Crude oil and NGLs – excluding Thermal In Situ Oil Sands  
 

 
Three Months EndedNine Months Ended
      
 Sep 30
 2018
 Jun 30
 2018
 Sep 30
 2017
 Sep 30
 2018
 Sep 30
 2017
 
Crude oil and NGLs production (bbl/d)247,314 238,631 238,844 243,857 232,533 
Net wells targeting crude oil140 58 145 299 349 
Net successful wells drilled135 58 144 292 346 
Success rate96%100%99%98%99%
Thermal In Situ Oil Sands  
 

 
Three Months EndedNine Months Ended
      
 Sep 30
 2018
 Jun 30
 2018
 Sep 30
 2017
 Sep 30
 2018
 Sep 30
 2017
 
Bitumen production (bbl/d)112,542 104,907 122,372 109,769 118,798 
Net wells targeting bitumen41 21 10 84 22 
Net successful wells drilled41 21 10 84 22 
Success rate100%100%100%100%100%
North America Natural Gas  
 

 
Three Months EndedNine Months Ended
      
 Sep 30
 2018
 Jun 30
 2018
 Sep 30
 2017
 Sep 30
 2018
 Sep 30
 2017
 
Natural gas production (MMcf/d)1,489 1,485 1,593 1,506 1,602 
Net wells targeting natural gas6 4 3 15 20 
Net successful wells drilled6 4 3 15 19 
Success rate100%100%100%100%95%

International Exploration and Production

 

 
Three Months EndedNine Months Ended
      
 Sep 30
 2018
 Jun 30
 2018
 Sep 30
 2017
 Sep 30
 2018
 Sep 30
 2017
 
Crude oil production (bbl/d)     
North Sea28,702 24,456 24,832 24,940 24,733 
Offshore Africa18,802 18,201 18,776 18,812 20,610 
Natural gas production (MMcf/d)     
North Sea38 30 46 35 40 
Offshore Africa26 24 25 27 22 
Net wells targeting crude oil1.6 1.9 - 4.5 1.8 
Net successful wells drilled1.6 1.9 - 4.5 1.8 
Success rate100%100%- 100%100%

North America Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading

 

 
Three Months EndedNine Months Ended
      
 Sep 30
 2018
Jun 30
 2018
Sep 30
 2017
Sep 30
 2018
Sep 30
 2017
Synthetic crude oil production (bbl/d) (1) (2)394,382407,704354,365419,161268,725
  1. Q3/18 SCO production before royalties excludes 2,758 bbl/d of SCO consumed internally as diesel (Q2/18 – 3,026 bbl/d; Q3/17 – 0 bbl/d).
  2. Consists of heavy and light synthetic crude oil products.

MARKETING

 Three Months Ended  Nine Months Ended
           
  Sep 30
 2018
   Jun 30
 2018
   Sep 30
 2017
    Sep 30
 2018
   Sep 30
 2017
 
Crude oil and NGLs pricing          
WTI benchmark price (US$/bbl) (1)$69.50  $67.90  $48.19   $66.79  $49.43 
WCS heavy differential as a percentage  of WTI (%) (2)32% 28% 21%  33% 24%
SCO price (US$/bbl)$68.44  $67.27  $48.83   $65.75  $50.03 
Condensate benchmark pricing (US$/bbl)$66.82  $68.85  $47.96   $66.28  $49.52 
Average realized pricing before risk management (C$/bbl) (3)$57.89  $61.14  $46.33   $54.26  $46.82 
Natural gas pricing          
AECO benchmark price (C$/GJ)$1.28  $0.97  $1.94   $1.33  $2.45 
Average realized pricing before risk management (C$/Mcf)$2.32  $1.95  $2.29   $2.34  $2.83 
  1. West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”).
  2. Western Canadian Select (“WCS”).
  3. Average crude oil and NGL pricing excludes SCO. Pricing is net of blending costs and excluding risk management activities.

ENVIRONMENTAL HIGHLIGHTS

In Q2/18 Canadian Natural published its 2017 Stewardship Report to Stakeholders, now available on the Company's website at https://www.cnrl.com/corporate-responsibility/stewardship-report/#2017. The report displays how Canadian Natural continues to focus on safe, reliable, effective and efficient operations while minimizing its environmental footprint.

FINANCIAL REVIEW  

The Company continues to implement proven strategies and its disciplined approach to capital allocation. As a result, the financial position of Canadian Natural remains strong. Canadian Natural’s adjusted funds flow generation, credit facilities, US commercial paper program, access to capital markets, diverse asset base and related flexible capital expenditure programs all support a flexible financial position and provide the appropriate financial resources for the near-, mid- and long-term.

CORPORATE UPDATE

OUTLOOK

The Company forecasts annual 2018 production levels to average between 802,000 and 868,000 bbl/d of crude oil and NGLs and between 1,550 and 1,600 MMcf/d of natural gas, before royalties. Q4/18 production guidance before royalties is forecast to average between 801,000 and 849,000 bbl/d of crude oil and NGLs and between 1,480 and 1,510 MMcf/d of natural gas. Detailed guidance on production levels, capital allocation and operating costs can be found on the Company’s website at www.cnrl.com.

Canadian Natural's annual 2018 capital expenditures are targeted to be approximately $4.6 billion.

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements relating to Canadian Natural Resources Limited (the “Company”) in this document or documents incorporated herein by reference constitute forward-looking statements or information (collectively referred to herein as “forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the words “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “plan”, “estimate”, “target”, “continue”, “could”, “intend”, “may”, “potential”, “predict”, “should”, “will”, “objective”, “project”, “forecast”, “goal”, “guidance”, “outlook”, “effort”, “seeks”, “schedule”, “proposed” or expressions of a similar nature suggesting future outcome or statements regarding an outlook. Disclosure related to expected future commodity pricing, forecast or anticipated production volumes, royalties, production expenses, capital expenditures, income tax expenses and other guidance provided throughout the Company's Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) of the financial condition and results of operations of the Company, constitute forward-looking statements. Disclosure of plans relating to and expected results of existing and future developments, including but not limited to the Horizon Oil Sands ("Horizon") operations and future expansions, the Athabasca Oil Sands Project ("AOSP"), Primrose thermal projects, the Pelican Lake water and polymer flood project, the Kirby Thermal Oil Sands Project, the cost and timing of construction and future operations of the North West Redwater bitumen upgrader and refinery, construction by third parties of new or expansion of existing pipeline capacity or other means of transportation of bitumen, crude oil, natural gas or synthetic crude oil (“SCO”) that the Company may be reliant upon to transport its products to market, development and deployment of technology and technological innovations and the assumption of operations at processing facilities also constitute forward-looking statements. This forward-looking information is based on annual budgets and multi-year forecasts, and is reviewed and revised throughout the year as necessary in the context of targeted financial ratios, project returns, product pricing expectations and balance in project risk and time horizons. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to certain risks. The reader should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements as there can be no assurances that the plans, initiatives or expectations upon which they are based will occur.

In addition, statements relating to “reserves” are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment based on certain estimates and assumptions that the reserves described can be profitably produced in the future. There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of proved and proved plus probable crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (“NGLs”) reserves and in projecting future rates of production and the timing of development expenditures. The total amount or timing of actual future production may vary significantly from reserve and production estimates.

The forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the Company and the industry in which the Company operates, which speak only as of the date such statements were made or as of the date of the report or document in which they are contained, and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, among others: general economic and business conditions which will, among other things, impact demand for and market prices of the Company’s products; volatility of and assumptions regarding crude oil and natural gas prices; fluctuations in currency and interest rates; assumptions on which the Company’s current guidance is based; economic conditions in the countries and regions in which the Company conducts business; political uncertainty, including actions of or against terrorists, insurgent groups or other conflict including conflict between states; industry capacity; ability of the Company to implement its business strategy, including exploration and development activities; impact of competition; the Company’s defense of lawsuits; availability and cost of seismic, drilling and other equipment; ability of the Company and its subsidiaries to complete capital programs; the Company’s and its subsidiaries’ ability to secure adequate transportation for its products; unexpected disruptions or delays in the resumption of the mining, extracting or upgrading of the Company’s bitumen products; potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; ability of the Company to attract the necessary labour required to build its thermal and oil sands mining projects; operating hazards and other difficulties inherent in the exploration for and production and sale of crude oil and natural gas and in mining, extracting or upgrading the Company’s bitumen products; availability and cost of financing; the Company’s and its subsidiaries’ success of exploration and development activities and its ability to replace and expand crude oil and natural gas reserves; timing and success of integrating the business and operations of acquired companies and assets; production levels; imprecision of reserve estimates and estimates of recoverable quantities of crude oil, natural gas and NGLs not currently classified as proved; actions by governmental authorities; government regulations and the expenditures required to comply with them (especially safety and environmental laws and regulations and the impact of climate change initiatives on capital expenditures and production expenses); asset retirement obligations; the adequacy of the Company’s provision for taxes; and other circumstances affecting revenues and expenses.

The Company’s operations have been, and in the future may be, affected by political developments and by national, federal, provincial and local laws and regulations such as restrictions on production, changes in taxes, royalties and other amounts payable to governments or governmental agencies, price or gathering rate controls and environmental protection regulations. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company’s assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in the forward-looking statements. The impact of any one factor on a particular forward-looking statement is not determinable with certainty as such factors are dependent upon other factors, and the Company’s course of action would depend upon its assessment of the future considering all information then available.

Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Unpredictable or unknown factors not discussed in the Company's MD&A could also have material adverse effects on forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that the expectations conveyed by the forward-looking statements are reasonable based on information available to it on the date such forward-looking statements are made, no assurances can be given as to future results, levels of activity and achievements. All subsequent forward-looking statements, whether written or oral, attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. Except as required by applicable law, the Company assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or other factors, or the foregoing factors affecting this information, should circumstances or the Company’s estimates or opinions change.

Special Note Regarding Currency, Production and Non-GAAP Financial Measures

The Company's MD&A should be read in conjunction with the unaudited interim consolidated financial statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2018 and the MD&A and the audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2017.

All dollar amounts are referenced in millions of Canadian dollars, except where noted otherwise. The Company’s unaudited interim consolidated financial statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2018 and the Company's MD&A have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board ("IASB"). The Company's MD&A includes references to financial measures commonly used in the crude oil and natural gas industry, such as: adjusted net earnings from operations; adjusted funds flow (previously referred to as funds flow from operations); net capital expenditures; adjusted cash production costs and adjusted depreciation, depletion and amortization. These financial measures are not defined by IFRS and therefore are referred to as non-GAAP measures. The non-GAAP measures used by the Company may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. The Company uses these non-GAAP measures to evaluate its performance. The non-GAAP measures should not be considered an alternative to or more meaningful than net earnings, cash flows from operating activities, and cash flows from investing activities as determined in accordance with IFRS, as an indication of the Company's performance. The non-GAAP measure adjusted net earnings from operations is reconciled to net earnings, as determined in accordance with IFRS, in the “Financial Highlights” section of the Company's MD&A. The non-GAAP measure adjusted funds flow is reconciled to cash flows from operating activities, as determined in accordance with IFRS, in the "Financial Highlights" section of the Company's MD&A. The non-GAAP measure net capital expenditures is reconciled to cash flows from investing activities, as determined in accordance with IFRS, in the “Net capital expenditures” section of the Company's MD&A. The derivation of adjusted cash production costs and adjusted depreciation, depletion and amortization are included in the "Operating Highlights - Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading" section of the Company's MD&A. The Company also presents certain non-GAAP financial ratios and their derivation in the “Liquidity and Capital Resources” section of the Company's MD&A.

A Barrel of Oil Equivalent (“BOE”) is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet (“Mcf”) of natural gas to one barrel (“bbl”) of crude oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl). This conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation, since the 6 Mcf:1 bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In comparing the value ratio using current crude oil prices relative to natural gas prices, the 6 Mcf:1 bbl conversion ratio may be misleading as an indication of value. In addition, for the purposes of the Company's MD&A, crude oil is defined to include the following commodities: light and medium crude oil, primary heavy crude oil, Pelican Lake heavy crude oil, bitumen (thermal oil), and SCO.

Production volumes and per unit statistics are presented throughout the Company's MD&A on a “before royalty” or “gross” basis, and realized prices are net of blending and feedstock costs and exclude the effect of risk management activities. Production on an “after royalty” or “net” basis is also presented for information purposes only.

Additional information relating to the Company, including its Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2017, is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com, and on EDGAR at www.sec.gov.

CONFERENCE CALL

A conference call will be held at 9:00 a.m. Mountain Time, 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time on Thursday, November 1, 2018.

The North American conference call number is 1-866-521-4909 and the outside North American conference call number is 001-647-427-2311. Please call in 10 minutes prior to the call starting time.

An archive of the broadcast will be available until 6:00 p.m. Mountain Time, Thursday, November 15, 2018. To access the rebroadcast in North America, dial 1-800-585-8367. Those outside of North America, dial 001-416-621-4642. The conference archive ID number is 5558647.

The conference call will also be webcast live and may be accessed on the home page of our website at www.cnrl.com.

Canadian Natural is a senior oil and natural gas production company, with continuing operations in its core areas located in Western Canada, the U.K. portion of the North Sea and Offshore Africa.

CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LIMITED
2100, 855 - 2nd Street S.W. Calgary, Alberta, T2P4J8
Phone: 403-514-7777  Email: ir@cnrl.com
www.cnrl.com

STEVE W. LAUT
Executive Vice-Chairman

TIM S. MCKAY
President

COREY B. BIEBER
Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice-President, Finance

MARK A. STAINTHORPE
Vice-President, Finance – Capital Markets

Trading Symbol - CNQ
Toronto Stock Exchange
New York Stock Exchange