Oil prices rise on signs Iranian oil exports are falling further in Oct

Reuters  |  SEOUL 

By Jane Chung

International Brent crude for December delivery rose 27 cents, or 0.33 percent, to $81.05 per barrel by 0325 GMT.

U.S. Intermediate crude for November delivery was up 12 cents at $71.90 a barrel.

has exported 1.33 million barrels per day (bpd) to countries including India, and in the first two weeks of October, according to Refinitiv Eikon data. That was down from 1.6 million bpd in September, the data showed.

The October exports are a sharp drop from the 2.5 million bpd exported in April before U.S. withdrew from a multi-lateral nuclear deal with in May and ordered the re-imposition of economic sanctions on the country, the third-largest among the members of the Organization of the Exporting Countries (OPEC).

The sanctions on Iran's sector will go into effect on Nov. 4.

"Uncertainties will remain until Nov. 4 when it would be clear whether the would want to cut to zero or grant waivers," said Vincent Hwang, at in Seoul.

"Brent prices are likely stay in the range of $80 a barrel or slightly higher, while WTI prices are likely to be $70-$75 a barrel," Hwang added.

Crude prices have also been supported by geopolitical tensions caused by the disappearance of a Saudi Arabian in Turkish have alleged officers killed the on Oct. 2 at the

U.S. threatened "severe punishment" for the kingdom if the is found to have been killed. Trump dispatched to to meet with the country's

Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil exporter, has denied the allegation. Saudi Arabian officials said it would retaliate against any actions taken over the Khashoggi case.

With the world's only sizable spare oil output capacity, is expected to export more to offset the loss of Iranian from the sanctions.

Saudi Arabia's Energy said on Monday at a conference in that the kingdom is committed to meeting India's rising and is the "shock absorber" for supply disruptions in the

The country is preparing to admit to causing the death of Khashoggi, according to and reports on Monday.

"For now, concerns around the disappearance of a Saudi Arabian national appear to be limited to the political sphere," a said in a note.

But WTI prices could fall in the back half of the week, weighed by an increase in U.S. crude inventories, the note said.

U.S. crude stockpiles were forecast to have risen for the fourth straight week by about 1.1 million barrels in the week ended Oct.12, according to a poll ahead of reports from the American Institute (API) and the (EIA).

The API's data is due for publication at 4:30 p.m. EDT (2030 GMT) on Tuesday, and the EIA report is due at 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT) on Wednesday.

(Reporting By Jane Chung; editing by and Christian Schmollinger)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Tue, October 16 2018. 10:12 IST