NAB has cut its housing price forecasts for Sydney and Melbourne for the second time in four months, citing a 'collapse' in confidence of property professionals in the two largest cities.
The fourth-largest lender said on Wednesday a seven-year low in the confidence of NSW and Victorian property professionals surveyed prompted it to widen the decline it expects this year to 3.7 per cent compared with the 1.8 per cent fall at the time of its last forecast in July, and also predicts a 3 per cent decline in unit prices, more than the 1.7 per cent previously expected.
"Confidence has dipped to new lows, pulled down mainly by NSW and VIC where property professionals scaled back their outlook for prices, particularly in VIC where falls are now tipped to be much bigger," the bank said.
"The orderly correction in house prices will continue over the next 18-24 months with Sydney falling around 10 per cent peak to trough and Melbourne 8 per cent. This reflects a bigger fall than previously expected but would still leave house prices well up on 2012 levels."
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