Oil prices fall from four-year high; Saudi, Russia agree to hike supply

On Wednesday, Brent climbed to the most technically overbought level since February 2012, while WTI inched higher to the most overbought since January

Reuters  |  New York 

Representative Image
Representative Image

prices fell on Thursday on the prospect of a production increase from and and on profit-taking after futures hit four-year highs in the previous session, supported by the imminent loss of Iranian supply through U.S. sanctions.

and struck a private deal in September to raise oil output, Reuters reported on Wednesday, before consulting with other producers including the rest of OPEC.

Saudi said on Thursday the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries was able to raise output by 1.3 million barrel per day, but offered no signal that the group would do so.

The kingdom plans to invest $20 billion to maintain and possibly expand its spare oil production capacity, and currently has a maximum sustainable capacity of 12 million bpd.

Brent crude futures fell $1.17, or 1.3 percent, to $85.12 a barrel by 12:11 p.m. EDT (1611 GMT), having risen to a late 2014 high of $86.74 on Wednesday.

Intermediate (WTI) crude dropped $1.51 to $74.90 a barrel, a 1.9 percent loss.

On Wednesday, Brent climbed to the most technically overbought level since February 2012, while WTI inched higher to the most overbought since January. The relative strength index (RSI) of both contracts rose this week to above 70, a technical level often regarded as signalling a market that has risen too far.

"The market was a bit over-extended on a short-term basis," said Brian LaRose, at ICAP-TA.

"I would need to see both $84.35 and $82.85 broken (for Brent) to suggest that something more than just a minor rest stop in an ongoing uptrend is likely to take place here."

Also weighing on oil prices, Cushing, Oklahoma, crude inventories rose about 1.7 million barrels from Sept. 28 to Tuesday, traders said, citing a report from market intelligence firm

The rise in to more than $85 and concerns over global trade are putting heavy pressure on emerging economies, Energy Agency told Reuters.

is facing an "economic crisis" due to its huge oil imports, two local TV channels cited as saying.

imports more than 4 million bpd of oil and is one of the biggest buyers of Iranian crude, along with China, and has been hurt by a slide in the rupee against the dollar.

The impact of at their highest in four years, together with dollar strength, is starting to show on demand.

"We have argued recently that reaching the $100 market would be a tall order. We still maintain this view but sometimes it makes more sense to put a time rather than a price limit on a rally," said.

"About the end of November, we will have a good idea as how many barrels will be lost due to the launch of the second round of the Iranian sanctions. By that time all the bullish news will be in the market."

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First Published: Thu, October 04 2018. 21:46 IST