Oil hovers near four-year high ahead of U.S. sanctions on Iran

Reuters  |  SINGAPORE 

By Gloystein

International benchmark Brent were at $85.04 per barrel at 0606 GMT, up 6 cents from their last close, and not far off the $85.45 peak reached in the previous session, the highest since November 2014.

Brent has risen by around 20 percent from its most recent lows in August.

U.S. Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 28 cents, or 0.4 percent, at $75.58 a barrel.

WTI is up about 17 percent since mid-August.

Sentiment was lifted by a last-gasp deal to salvage a trilateral pact between the United States, and Canada, rescuing a $1.2 trillion a year open-trade zone that had been about to collapse.

More fundamentally, have been pushed up by looming U.S. sanctions against Iran's oil industry, which at its most recent peak this year supplied almost 3 percent of the world's almost 100 million barrels of daily consumption.

Trade data in Eikon showed Iran's seaborne exports in September were just 1.6 million barrels per day, the lowest level since mid-2016.

"Oil prices continue to climb, supported by the nearing embargo and related supply concerns," said Norbert Ruecker, at Swiss

"The supply situation looks fragile indeed, as any additional shortfall such as a deterioration of the situation in would tighten "

said in its fourth quarter Global Economics outlook that "our believe there is now a growing risk it (crude) could touch $100 per barrel".

Washington's sanctions are set to start on Nov. 4, and analysts say there may not be enough spare production capacity in the short-term to meet demand, potentially requiring large storage drawdowns.

"The camp of believers that $100 oil could be reached continues to expand, with spare capacity concerns continuing to grow," said Brian Kessens, firm

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), of which is a member, has struggled to replace export falls from Iran, according to a survey published on Monday.

With crude prices soaring and many currencies in emerging markets, including India's rupee and Indonesia's rupiah declining, analysts warn that economic growth may be eroded.

"Admittedly, supply-side concerns are pushing the higher, but there are now clear warning signs on the demand-side, which could yet send prices lower," said in a note to clients.

(Reporting by Gloystein; Editing by and Richard Pullin)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Tue, October 02 2018. 11:44 IST