Global Markets: Trade talk plans boost Asian shares, but China shaky

Reuters  |  SHANGHAI 

By Andrew Galbraith

But stocks in fell amid lingering uncertainty over the outlook for trade.

MSCI's broadest index of shares outside gained 0.8 percent, with Australian shares up 0.6 percent, Seoul's gaining 1.3 percent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng up 0.7 percent.

Japan's Nikkei stock index was 1 percent higher.

Those rises followed gains on Wall Street Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average ending 0.57 percent higher, the gaining 0.53 percent and the adding 0.75 percent.

But Chinese shares fell, despite a short-lived bump from data that showed forecast-topping industrial output and for August.

Other data showed in the country fell in August, raising concerns that a cooling property market could increase risks for China's economic outlook as the trade environment worsens.

China's benchmark Shanghai Composite index was down 0.3 percent and the blue-chip CSI300 index eased 0.2 percent. Both indexes had wavered between gains and losses in the morning session.

"What the market wants is some degree of certainty," said Jim McCafferty, of Equity Research, ex-at Nomura.

"I think everyone knows that the trade deal might not be as optimistic as it might have been in ... June or July, and it might be negative for many Chinese companies. But the fact that there's no certainty there is one reason that investors are staying on the sidelines."

of a possible new round of talks between and comes even as the trade war between the world's two largest economies looks set to escalate.

Chinese officials welcomed an invitation from for new talks. But U.S. tempered market expectations, tweeting on Thursday that the U.S. is "under no pressure to make a deal with "

The is readying a final list of $200 billion in Chinese imports on which it plans to levy tariffs in the coming days, a move that many fear would mark a severe escalation in the trade war and put a significant dent in global growth.

"The on Wednesday that US officials had invited China to restart trade talks suggests that the announcement of tariffs on $200bn of Chinese imports may be delayed. But we think the chance that fresh talks will defuse trade tensions is low," analysts said in a note.

The analysts noted that Mnuchin had brokered a deal with China in May that was scuppered days later by Trump.

"As a result, he has little credibility with Chinese policymakers," they said.

On Friday, the state-run English-language newspaper said in an editorial that China would not "surrender" to U.S. demands, and that "will not hesitate to take countermeasures against U.S. tariffs to safeguard China's interests."

Uncertainty around the global outlook for trade was highlighted by the European Central Bank, which on Thursday kept policy unchanged as expected and warned that risks from protectionism were gaining prominence.

'EYE-WATERING'

But a sharp interest rate hike by Turkey's central to support a tumbling lira boosted risk appetite in emerging markets. In a rare show of independence, the raised its benchmark interest rate by 625 basis points, to 24 percent.

Currency crises both in and have stoked fears of contagion over the past several weeks, hammering emerging market assets from to to

After rising as high as 6.01 to the dollar, the lira weakened slightly to 6.1275 on Friday.

"The Turkish Central seems to have regained some credibility after hiking rates to an eye-watering 24 percent. This move looks to have reset investor expectations for the lira and let some investors breathe a sigh of relief," said Hannah Anderson, Global Market Strategist,

"However, this is not enough to assuage all investor worries about EM. Individual emerging markets are being buffeted by highly local cross currents in the context of broader negative sentiment around EMs."

The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes rose to 2.9718 percent compared with its U.S. close of 2.964 percent on Thursday.

The two-year yield, sensitive to expectations of higher Fed fund rates, touched 2.7565 percent compared with a U.S. close of 2.756 percent.

The two-year yield fell Thursday after data showed U.S. consumer prices rose less than expected in August, and underlying inflation pressures also appeared to be slowing, suggesting the Federal Reserve's pace of rate hikes could slow.

The euro was up 0.06 percent at $1.1695 after rising on Thursday on comments from ECB that focused on healthy domestic fundamentals, including rapid growth in employment and a rise in wages.

The pound edged 0.1 percent higher at $1.3118. On Thursday, the kept interest rates on hold and highlighted greater financial market concerns about Brexit, a month after raising borrowing costs for only the second time in more than a decade.

The dollar eased 0.04 percent against the yen to 111.87.

U.S. crude was 0.2 percent higher at $68.75 a barrel as Hurricane approached the Brent crude rose less than 0.1 percent to $78.23 per barrel.

Spot gold gained 0.35 percent $1204.96 per ounce.

(Reporting by Andrew Galbraith; Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Fri, September 14 2018. 09:22 IST