Oil slips as economic concerns counter tighter supply

Reuters  |  LONDON 

By Christopher Johnson

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Thursday, slipping back from four-month highs as investors focused on the risk that emerging market crises and trade disputes could dent demand.

Benchmark Brent was down 70 cents a barrel at $79.04 by 0830 GMT. U.S. light crude fell $1.15 to a low of $69.22 a barrel.

The International Agency said on Thursday that although the was tightening at the moment and world would soon reach 100 million barrels per day (bpd), global economic risks were mounting.

"Things are tightening up," the agency said in its monthly report, but added: "As we move into 2019, a possible risk to our forecast lies in some key emerging economies, partly due to currency depreciations versus the U.S. dollar raising the cost of imported "

"In addition, there is a risk to growth from an escalation of trade disputes," the Paris-based agency said.

U.S. companies in are being hurt by tariffs in the growing trade war between and Beijing, according to a survey, prompting U.S. business lobbies to urge the administration of U.S. to reconsider its approach.

The has invited Chinese officials to restart trade talks just as it prepares to escalate a trade war with with tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods.

Short-term, the outlook is for tighter supply.

Brent rose above $80 per barrel on Wednesday for the first time since May, spurred by expectations that U.S. sanctions against Iran's oil exports, which will start in November, will tighten global markets.

U.S. light crude pushed over $70 on Wednesday due to falling U.S. crude inventories and production levels.

The IEA said tightening supply was putting increasing pressure on prices: "The price range for Brent of $70-$80 per barrel in place since April could be tested," it said.

U.S. crude stocks fell 5.3 million barrels in the week to Sept. 7 to 396.2 million barrels, the lowest since February 2015 and about 3 percent below the five-year average for this time of year, the Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday.

Stephen Innes, at in Singapore, said the inventory data showed "a much deeper drop than analyst's expectations".

U.S. production fell by 100,000 bpd, to 10.9 million bpd, as the industry faces pipeline capacity constraints.

(Reporting by Henning Gloystein; editing by and Jason Neely)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Thu, September 13 2018. 14:18 IST