Oil steady as emerging market woes dim demand outlook

Reuters  |  LONDON 

By Christopher Johnson

Benchmark Brent was up 10 cents at $72.91 a barrel by 0930 GMT. U.S. light crude was unchanged at $67.63 a barrel.

Turkey's financial crisis has raised the risk of contagion throughout emerging economies, dragging down South Africa's rand, and Mexico's pesos as well as the Russian rouble. It has also dented emerging market stocks while curbing growth and the outlook for demand.

This is compounding worries that a deepening trade war between the United States, and the will squeeze business activity in the world's biggest economies.

is a relatively small oil consumer, accounting for less than 1 million barrels per day (bpd) or around 1 percent of global demand, but says the impact of the Turkish crisis could be considerable.

"The direct impact on global demand for oil is negligible," Fritsch said. "If the crisis spread to other, larger (emerging) countries, though, demand would be hit considerably."

Hedge funds and other money managers reduced their bullish positions in U.S. crude futures and options in the week ending Aug. 7, data from the showed on Friday.

said that hedge funds had cut bullish bets on oil because of "rising production levels from OPEC and the United States".

U.S. increased their number of by the most since May, adding 10 rigs to bring the total count to 869, according to firm. [RIG/U]

That was the highest level of drilling activity since March 2015.

Despite the cautious mood in oil markets, bullish sentiment found some support from expectations that U.S. sanctions against would restrict Iranian crude exports, tightening global supply.

The has started implementing new sanctions against Iran, which from November will also target the country's petroleum sector.

is the third-largest in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, behind and Iraq, pumping 3.65 million bpd in July, data show. [OPEC/O]

"There are lots of variables in the oil market, the most important of which is Iran," said Tamas Varga, at London brokerage

"If 1 million bpd or more of Iranian exports go AWOL, the current fragile supply-demand balance will be upended, potentially sending above the May peak."

(Reporting by in London and Henning Gloystein in Singapore; Editing by and Adrian Croft)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Mon, August 13 2018. 15:24 IST