Oil steady as Iran sanctions balance impact of trade war

Reuters  |  LONDON 

By Christopher Johnson

Benchmark Brent was up 20 cents at $72.27 a barrel by 1120 GMT. light crude was 10 cents higher at $66.91 a barrel.

"Sentiment is sandwiched between fears that a U.S.-trade dispute will hurt demand and looming Iranian supply shortages," said Stephen Brennock,

Escalating trade disputes are casting a shadow over the outlook for economic growth and pushing up the dollar, the currency in which oil is traded internationally, making it more expensive for consumers using other currencies.

emerging economies including China, and have seen their currencies slump.

"Oil, like other commodities, is responding to dollar strength," Harry Tchilinguirian, at French in London, told the Global Oil Forum.

For the week, Brent is set for a near 2 percent fall, while light crude is heading for a drop of nearly 3 percent.

"The market seems to be focused on fears of reduced demand from China, partially due to the effects of the trade wars between and the United States," said William O'Loughlin, at Australia's

In the latest round of levies, said it would impose additional tariffs of 25 percent on $16 billion worth of U.S. imports.

Although crude was removed from the list, replaced by refined products and liquefied petroleum gas, analysts say Chinese imports of U.S. crude will fall significantly.

But these worries are balanced by the introduction of U.S. sanctions against Iran, which from November will include and are likely to tighten global supply.

Although the European Union, China and oppose sanctions, many are expected to bow to U.S. pressure.

Analysts expect Iranian crude exports to fall by between 500,000 and 1.3 million barrels per day, with buyers in Japan, and already dialling back orders.

The reduction will depend on whether buyers of Iranian oil receive waivers that would allow some imports.

The International Energy Agency said on Friday the could see more turbulence later this year.

"The recent cooling down of the market, with short-term supply tensions easing, currently lower prices, and lower demand growth might not last," the IEA said in a monthly report.

"As against take effect, perhaps in combination with production problems elsewhere, maintaining global supply might be very challenging."

(Reporting by in London and Henning Gloystein in Singapore; Editing by Dale Hudson)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Fri, August 10 2018. 17:03 IST