Analysis: Banks' post-Brexit 'fragmentation' plans hold risks and costs

Reuters  |  LONDON 

By and Pamela Barbaglia

Several of the world's biggest banks are in the process of relocating a number of staff who deal directly with clients and some back-office functions as Britain prepares to leave the next March.

The banks, which include JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Citi, and of America, plan to "fragment" their operations by expanding or launching services in more than just one city.

While beefing up operations in traditional financial centres such as Frankfurt, and Paris, they are also seeking to expand in cities such as Madrid, Milan, and

Playing down the links with Brexit, the banks say the moves will bring them closer to clients and cut the costs of concentrating their operations in expensive

But the rush to set up offices in has been mainly triggered by the fear of losing the benefits of EU "passports", which remove internal borders and allow banks operating in London to serve clients across the bloc.

"It is an enforced change in strategy. If wasn't happening, would we be doing all this? No, of course we wouldn't. And neither would anyone else," said an insider at a large U.S.

"Does it get you closer to clients? Yes, of course it does. But people are trying to make a virtue out of a necessity," said the insider, who declined to be named because of the sensitivity of the subject.

It is not clear how much the fragmentation strategy will cost the industry or each individual bank, partly because each subsidiary will need its own pool of capital, the size of which will depend on what business activities and staff it needs.

But research by suggested non-EU banks that until now have used Britain as a gateway to serve EU clients may have to allocate an aggregate 35-45 billion euros ($40-52 billion) of capital to turn EU branches into subsidiaries.

reported in July that British lender Lloyds Group was planning to operate from three separate European subsidiaries after Its decision underscores the vast reorganisation that even banks with relatively small continental interests are having to undergo.

But some experts question whether moving out of London will have any financial benefits.

"The economics will pull everything back here before long. A lot of money could be wasted in discovering that," said Barney Reynolds, head of financial institutions at

HUNDREDS SET TO MOVE

Some bankers say splintering complex businesses across multiple cities will make such as trading and debt issuance more expensive for European companies, governments and investors. The region as a whole may suffer, they say.

"If you were a theoretician, you would say that one centre in that is dominant would probably be more effective than a fragmented approach," John McFarlane, of and group TheCityUK, told

Hundreds of staff could move from Britain. is shifting up to 200 roles to and as part of its Brexit planning, while is preparing to relocate up to 1,000 roles to the continent.

"Brexit, naturally, will dominate how firms manage their organisations at least for the short term, drawing on budgets and taking resources away from other areas of focus," said Shankar Mukherjee, Partner at consultancy EY.

"The impact will likely be felt on incremental capital requirements, as well as the ongoing costs of supporting multiple legal entities. We expect that this will pose questions around the ongoing profitability of certain business lines within Europe, particularly for smaller firms."

Earlier this year, estimated it would cost an average 50,000 pounds ($64,000)to relocate a single employee to a European city. This excluded IT expenses, the costs of regulatory permissions or licenses or the capitalisation of the new business hub.

Several banks say redistributing London-based staff to cheaper European cities will help them curb costs. But new offices leased by in Paris's fashionable 8th arrondissement or Goldman Sachs's in Milan's historic centre do not look like moves made on a shoestring budget.

"They say they are playing catch-up on moving expensive back-office operations outside London but I don't think anyone had such a significant outsourcing plan before Brexit," the said.

Any competitive advantage banks hope to gain by launching offices or expanding in multiple continental cities could quickly disappear if rivals do the same a few streets away.

"It is a zero-sum or slightly negative-sum game," said Chris Dyer, at Eaton Vance, an investor in Goldman Sachs, and

"The banks may realise some benefits but at a cost. Having people in one location has benefits in terms of information flow and relationships. The banks will have to be more thoughtful about capturing and distributing information on clients, markets and risks across the expanded employee footprint," he said.

($1 = 0.7820 pounds)

(Additional reporting by Huw Jones and Noor Zainab Hussain in Bengaluru, Editing by Timothy Heritage)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Fri, August 10 2018. 16:07 IST