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Tesla Model 3 Estimated Delivery Timeline Pushed Back to 2-4 Months
6 H BY WADE MALONE 32
Opening the Model 3 ordering books to anyone in the U.S. has probably contributed to a bit of a backlog.
It was only a week ago today that we reported Tesla Model 3 delivery windows were being pushed up. Tesla had just hit an all time high in production with over 10,000 Model 3’s in transit. The U.S. EV Tax Credit was officially safe through December. And Model 3 ordering was recently opened up to anyone in the U.S. interested in the long range models. Had the floodgates opened? While the Dual Motor Model 3 was still being listed with a 2-4 month delivery timeline, the Rear Wheel Drive and Performance models were given quicker turnarounds of 1-3 months.
More About Model 3 Production
Unfortunately for buyers, delivery estimates on teslamotors.com are back to 2-4 months for RWD, AWD and P models. InsideEVs reader CCIE alerted us to the change Wednesday morning:
I’ve been looking at Model 3 ordering and noticed late last night that all models now show availability in 2-4 months. Earlier yesterday the RWD and P-AWD models showed 1-3 months.
Buyers of the Model 3 have probably realized by now that the estimates given on teslamotors.com should be taken with a healthy bit of skepticism. It is not uncommon to place an order and have a delivery scheduled in under 2 weeks. It is also not unusual to place an order and be waiting several weeks past the expected delivery estimate.
However, from this change we can infer that orders have increased on the RWD and Performance models. Many buyers are hoping to take delivery by the end of the year and decided to take the plunge as soon as they were able. We also have not seen production levels in July quite reach the highs from the end of Q2. So demand continues to far outweigh supply and the short range model has still yet to launch.
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32 Comments on "Tesla Model 3 Estimated Delivery Timeline Pushed Back to 2-4 Months"
Well i guess with the base model pushed to probably next year some realized that you either wait and get it for $40k with the premium package or get the long range now for $41.5 after full fed credit. Man, this is a thought one!…not!
SR+premium in 1H19 will get 3750 credit, so it’s 36,250 vs. 41,500.
But you’re getting better value with LR. You’re getting LR option that’s normally $9K more for only about $5K more.
…. ****if**** you have the additional $5k to spare, after already being squeezed out to $9k above your original $27.5k (or less in many states) budget.
($9k assumes as the commenter above shrewdly guessed, Elon rolls out a $40k base-plus trim first before the true base trim)
It’s actually $14K more, not $9K, since you need PUP upgrade, so pre-subsidy is $49K ($41.5K post tax credit, $39K with CA rebate). If you were counting on any amount of tax credit for base model, that isn’t likely. Just look at Tesla’s track record of always being late. That’s why one should compare $35K (haha!) to $42K.
$5K for 100+ miles additional range and sub 5 second 0-60 is well worth the cost. And $2K for PUP upgrade that’s normally $5K is also a very good deal. Biggest complaint is that foo_ing Tesla announced this _after_ I got the Bolt.
In spite of all the delays, I think it’s still a pretty safe bet that early reservation holders will get partial tax credit on the base model… Without a reservation though it doesn’t seem likely indeed.
Yes, for H1 but i would bet that they would give priority to LR production wise and not many SR will be delivered…. as they should. It comes down to bird in hand or fast wild chicken.
Yup. That’s what I’ve been saying. But the lead time is cutting it really close to end of the year, some who order when it was shorter was cutting it close. This new lead time might make some to go past Dec. 31 and not get the full tax credit, because Tesla is always late.
The big question is when will they release the non-PUP interior in the Model 3 LR? Tesla has already added on interior option (white). They have also unbundled the wheel/brake package out of “P”. So interior changes and unbundling are on the table already.
Will Tesla to make the PUP optional and start building Model 3 LR non-PUP’s this summer ahead of SR in 6-9 months?
Then it is $35,500 after rebate for non-PUP Model 3 LR vs. an SR at half rebate. I think if Tesla offers that option by the end of summer, it will be a keyboard race to see who can finalize their orders fast enough to get one before New Year’s Eve.
At the end of the day, the only folks who care about these timelines are folks waiting/hoping for Tesla’s failure. The fact is that Tesla makes a good product that people want. Their popularity is what causes a backup- there’s more people that want the product than the amount of the product. I’m no apologist, I’m simply the messenger. And this fact has NOTHING to do with Elon’s tweets, delays in manufacturing, Jim Chanos doom-and-gloom about timelines, tent-structures, the price of tea in China, etc.
Only Tesla Doomers care about delivery timelines? Really? Strongly disagree. In general, a wait time of months for a car is going to matter a lot to at least some customers, and throwing in the tax incentive complication makes it all the more interesting.
Timelines matters if you’re currently leasing a car or hope to take advantage of the full tax credit.
WRONG! Timelines only mattter to TSLA-hating FUD spreaders. Didn’t you read what John posted?? /sarcasm
While I agree that the Tesla Death Cult tends to read too much into minor delivery schedule changes, I think it’s safe to say that other people care about delivery timelines, too…
How much is that “Tesla Tea” in China, after all?
We already know how much the “Texas Tea (that is)” costs here in the US!
Props to The Beverly Hillbillies, and of course, Mr. Drysdale!
This is a race to $7500 now. I have a family member who is thinking about going ahead with a current model instead of waiting for the $35000 model. Why wait just to lose the incentive?
+7500! With Tesla being always late, I have my doubts if SR will qualify for any tax credit. Get it now is best value for the buck.
Tough pill to swallow for those people that thought waiting in line for hours on 31 March 2016 would allow them to snag a $35k Model 3 for potentially $27.5k (after taking the $7,500 fed tax credit). Illusions of Grandeur. Now they have to decide if they can stretch for a $49k ($41.5k after $7,500 credit) LR 3.
Or they may just decide the hell with it and lease a Bolt or Leaf for 3 years and hope Tesla has their sh!t together by the time that lease ends.
I am confused as to why they thought this. Elon always stated the Model 3 would start at $35k, he was very specific never to mention tax credits in the price and he also stated early on better equipped models would ship first. I think the problem was bloggers with the Tesla blinders on spouting that the Model 3 would be $27,500, etc. Elon could of course emphasized this back in the day.
The Model 3 LR RWD looks to be an incredible deal. Real EPA range of 349 miles with aero wheels due to requested derating of figure to make AWD models look better and incredibly fastcharging at least to 60% or even 80% charge. It is really the first long distance EV I could see myself driving (even much better than any of the Model S cars). Expected 270 mile range at 80 mph is amazing. First EV you won’t lose much timetraveling across country with properly timed stops. Bolt EV is 44k MSRP up front for model I would want. Like my i3 Rex, the Bolt EV will make a great value used car.
I Think You Are Choosing to Be Confused
You are on EV sites frequently and to project your Tesla awareness onto the masses who don’t frequent Tesla focused blogs is not realistic. Elon purposely used the $35K headline and sold the notion ‘why buy a Leaf for $35K’ when you can buy a Tesla instead’.
Problem: Three years forward, there is no $35K Tesla to be had.
Tesla Unveils Model 3 – Event 2016
@17:02 Deliveries begin at the end of next year (no asterisk provided)
@17:21 $35,000 displayed prominently behind him and states even the base car is very well equipped
@22:41 RESERVATIONS NOW OPEN
Why would those who waited in line (vehicle unseen) and reserved with the intent of buying the base configuration not expect to use the $7,500 tax credit?
When a base Model S was going for $60K+ at the time, he swept up tons of folks looking for entry into Tesla at 50% of the going price. I hope each and every person who reserved and specified the $35K car is able to buy the base car with zero up-sell.
A must watch for anyone that has any interest in EVs/Tesla.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mD-_niE7wC4
Fairly balanced video – The noise level has gotten completely out of hand…
Not sure why YOU are posting this… when was the last time you saw the middle?
I agree with her however, the entire ev industry is being intentionally dragged into this fight.
Huh? I don’t see her saying anything about the entire EV industry being intentionally dragged into this…
Indeed. Let’s see you taking it to heart 😛
As soon as the TSLA-heads change, so will I. 😛
By any chance, are you suggesting that the proverbial “rolling heads” scenario, become an option, on the long range upcoming Tesla “Plan”? 🤡
From the Transport Evolved YouTube video:
Nikki: “On the flip side we’ve got Tesla supporters. Most are sane, objective people. . . . But then there’s a small and much, much more vocal minority of uber-fanboys, who will spare no trick as to those who suggest Tesla isn’t doing well or isn’t a awesome car company. Those fanboys, many of whom I should note don’t even own a Tesla or a car, will descend on anyone who even dares to question Tesla or even imply that Tesla has made a mistake or there is something that Tesla needs to work on. And they protest vociferously about the person or company in question . . .”
Nikki hit the nail on the head. She has just described to a tee InsideEVs resident Tesla uber-fanboy Pushmi-Pullyu, who not only doesn’t even own a Tesla or a car, but doesn’t even drive. Pushing-Pullyu launches incessant, non-stop personal attacks and engages in name calling against ANYONE who even mildly criticizes Tesla. A while back, Pushmi-Pullyu even called either Steven or Eric Loveday (I forget which one) a FUDster when one of them published an article mildly critical of Tesla on InsideEVs. ☹️
Can´t wait to see the Nurburgring lap time of the Tesla Model 3 Performance!
If it´s better than the BMW M3 we will no longer have to listen to those that say that the Tesla’s are only good in straight line!
I’m still a bit surprised they opened up the LR-PUP reservations to anyone in the US versus shipping them overseas to original reservation holders. Just my 2 cents….
Still in love with mine tho!
There are various issues with that. For one, the vehicle has to be homologised to any new market; so it needs a considerable lead time. Also, the long shipping times mean a major delay in revenue coming in, which wouldn’t be good for the current focus on positive cash flow. Furthermore, building up the support infrastructure for the much larger fleet (service, supercharging, delivery centres etc.) takes both time and money. And last but not least, with the expiring tax credit, US deliveries are now more urgent than anywhere else.
The upcoming expiration of the US $7.5k tax credit, has to definitely be the biggest constraining fence around Tesla, in at least the next 6 months, keeping their exports to a token % of 2018 annual production.
Deliveries in N.A. need to be fulfilled first, before the European Tesla onslaught!