Oil rises as market anticipates U.S. sanctions on Iran

Reuters  |  LONDON 

By Christopher Johnson

Benchmark Brent crude jumped $1.49 to a high of $79.34 a barrel before easing back to around $78.75 by 1230 GMT.

U.S. light crude was unchanged at $73.45. On Thursday, the U.S. futures contract hit its highest since November 2014 at $74.03 per barrel.

is the fifth-largest in the world, pumping about 4.7 million barrels per day (bpd), or almost 5 percent of total output, much of it to and other such as

The wants to stop exporting oil to cut off a vital supply of finance, and hopes other big in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and will make up for the deficit.

But the world is already tight with unplanned disruptions in Canada, and removing supply.

Many analysts and investors think strict enforcement of U.S. sanctions against will push up prices sharply.

"It is becoming increasingly clear that and will struggle to compensate for potential losses in from the likes of Venezuela, Iran and Libya," said Abhishek Kumar, at in London.

Vienna-based consultancy said the stronger the implementation and enforcement of U.S. sanctions, the higher the will go:

"Triple-digit are not off the table," JBC said.

A survey of 35 economists and analysts on Friday forecast Brent would average $72.58 a barrel in 2018, 90 cents higher than the $71.68 forecast in last month's poll and compared with the $71.15 average so far this year.

North American have fallen as an outage at Canada's has locked in more than 300,000 bpd of production. The outage is expected to last at least through July, according to operator

Outside North America, record demand and voluntary supply cuts led by OPEC have pushed up prices.

Major buyers of Iranian oil, including Japan, and South Korea, have indicated they may stop importing Iranian crude if U.S. sanctions are imposed.

Until then, however, they are buying as much Iranian oil as possible. Imports of Iranian by major buyers in rose in May to the highest in eight months.

(Additional reporting by in Singapore; editing by Louise Heavens)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Fri, June 29 2018. 18:12 IST