Oil markets tense amid outages, OPEC policy and escalating trade rows

Reuters  |  SINGAPORE 

By Gloystein

Brent crude futures were at $74.80 per barrel at 0617 GMT, up 7 cents, or 0.1 percent, from their last close.

Brent was driven up by uncertainty around exports by Libya, a member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

Eastern Libyan Khalifa Haftar's forces gave control of ports to a separate (NOC) based in the country's east.

The company from the capital Tripoli, also called NOC, will not be allowed to handle that oil anymore, he said.

"The move increases the risk that Libyan will be shut in as the NOC in is the only legal entity with the right to sell oil," said Sukrit Vijayakar, director of Trifecta.

U.S. Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $68.24 a barrel, up 16 cents, or 0.2 percent.

In North America, production trouble at Canada's largest at in was pushing up prices.

Higher feedstock crude oil prices, as well as surging fuel exports from China, have pulled down Asian refinery product margins to two-year lows.

TIGHT SUPPLY

The uncertainty over Libya's comes after OPEC together with a group of non-OPEC partners including top OPEC announced a supply rise of around 1 million barrels per day (bpd) aimed at cooling

have tightened significantly since 2017, when OPEC and its partners started withholding supply to prop up slumping prices at the time.

"Despite the OPEC agreement (last week) we believe that tight supply is likely to drive higher during 2018," of U.S. Jefferies said in a note

"We expect that Brent prices will be in excess of $80 per barrel in 2H18," he added.

Lynch (BoAML) said tight market conditions would push Brent prices to $90 per barrel by the second quarter of 2019.

But BoAML warned of uncertainty as the impact of announced U.S. sanctions against was not yet clear, and as the effects of the global trade dispute between the and major other economies including the and gradually take effect.

In a gloomy sign of what may lie ahead for economic growth, the escalating trade fight has already led to sharp sell-offs in stock markets, especially in

"We estimate a demand drop of 44,000 bpd for every 1 percent drop in global trade," BoAML said.

(Reporting by Gloystein; Editing by Joseph Radford)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Tue, June 26 2018. 12:01 IST