Oil steady as outages balance trade dispute, OPEC

Reuters  |  LONDON 

By Christopher Johnson

Brent crude was up 10 cents at $74.83 a barrel by 1045 GMT. U.S. light crude was down 10 cents at $67.98.

Brent, the global benchmark, was driven up by uncertainty about exports by Libya, a member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.

Eastern Libyan Khalifa Haftar's forces have given control of ports to a separate (NOC) based in the country's east.

The company from the capital Tripoli, also called NOC, will no longer be allowed to handle that oil, he said.

"The move increases the risk that Libyan will be shut in as the NOC in is the only legal entity with the right to sell oil," said Sukrit Vijayakar, director of Trifecta.

Production problems at one of Canada's largest drove front-month U.S. crude to its highest premium above second-month futures since 2014.

Higher feedstock crude oil prices, as well as surging fuel exports from China, have pulled down Asian refinery product margins to two-year lows.

Uncertainty over Libya's exports follows a move by OPEC and other to increase supply by around 1 million barrels per day (bpd).

have tightened significantly since 2017, when OPEC and its partners started withholding supply to prop up slumping prices.

But some analysts think will stay tight.

"Despite the OPEC agreement (last week) we believe that tight supply is likely to drive higher during 2018," said of U.S. Jefferies.

Lynch (BoAML) said Brent could rise to $90 a barrel by the second quarter of 2019.

But BoAML said the effects of the global trade dispute between the and other major economies including the and were gradually taking effect.

In a sign of what may lie ahead for economic growth, the escalating trade fight has already led to sharp sell-offs in stock markets, especially in

"We estimate a demand drop of 44,000 bpd for every 1 percent drop in global trade," BoAML said.

(Additional reporting by in Singapore; editing by and Jason Neely)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Tue, June 26 2018. 16:45 IST