Analysis: Dow-ned but not out - Expulsion no body blow for GE shareholders

Reuters 

By Noel Randewich

While the index of 30 top-shelf U.S. corporations is arguably more well known, professional investors bet much more on what happens to the S&P 500, an index in which the one-time leading U.S. company has only a tiny influence. GE's drop from the will thus likely not pose a risk of wide selling pressure by indexed funds.

"There's only a small group of investors who actually target their investing to the Dow Jones Industrial Average," said Rick Meckler, a at Cherry Lane Investments, a family office in New Vernon, "All in all, I don't think it's meaningful to investors."

Indeed, investors in GE might look on the move as the least of their worries. Struggling with weak profits and facing calls to be broken up, GE shares have already dropped 15 percent this year.

GE reached its peak share price in late August 2000, about a year before longtime turned over the reins to The stock has fallen more than 75 percent since.

Not even its rich dividend has cushioned the dismal performance: Including reinvested dividends, GE has delivered total losses of 61 percent during that time, while the Dow has offered up gains of 240 percent on the same basis.

In the latest blow, Indices said on Tuesday that GE, an original member of the Dow when it was formed by in 1896 and a continuous member since 1907, will be replaced in the 30-component stock average by Boots Alliance Inc prior to the start of trading on June 26.

GE fell 1 percent in extended trade following the announcement, while jumped 3 percent.

While negative sentiment caused by the elimination of the company from the Dow could lead to more selling of its shares on Wednesday, investors predicted that GE's removal would prompt little reaction from major funds.

"Symbolically, this indignity marks GE's fall from grace," said analysts at RBC. "However, given that the is a price-weighted index, GE now represents less than one-half of a percent of the overall index with its current stock price sitting below $13."

GE is now the sixth smallest member of the Dow by market value, and it sports the index's lowest stock price, making it the least influential component of the price-weighted average.

About $20 billion is invested in exchange traded funds tied to the Dow, the vast majority in the ETF Trust, according to Lipper data.

By comparison, ETFs that track the have assets of around $380 billion. That means GE's exit from the Dow next week will trigger a relatively small amount of selling by passively managed funds reconfiguring their holdings.

Underscoring the greater heft of the S&P 500, surged 5 percent to a record high on June 5 after it was announced that the would join that index.

The largest U.S. corporation by stock market value during most of the 1990s and until it was overtaken by in 2005, GE's market capitalization now stands at $118 billion, less than 15 percent of Apple Inc's size.

GE is now tied with as the Dow components that are least favored by stock analysts, according to data. Following GE's recent warning that it might not be able to pay its 2019 dividend, just five analysts recommend buying shares in GE, compared with three who recommend selling and eight with neutral ratings.

(Reporting by in San Francisco; Additional reporting by in New York; Editing by Megan Davies, and Neil Fullick)

(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Wed, June 20 2018. 09:57 IST