Kairana By Election Result 2018 LIVE: Setback Means BJP Has to Rely on PM Modi's Charisma to Fight United Opposition

Meanwhile, in the neighbouring state of Bihar, RJD bagged Bihar’s Jokihat seat, following which party chief's son Tejashwi Yadav said, "The number of votes JDU got, is less than our victory margin. People of Bihar are continuing to avenge the u-turn taken by Nitish Kumar."

The number of votes JDU got, is less than our victory margin. People of Bihar are continuing to avenge the uturn taken by Nitish Kumar: Tejashwi Yadav on RJD won Jokihat assembly bypoll #Bihar pic.twitter.com/ljVXanHJ06

— ANI (@ANI) May 31, 2018

SP Wins Noorpur | The ruling Bharatiya Janta Party faces another set back as Samajwadi Party (SP) candidate Naeem Ul Hasan wins Noorpur by 6,211 votes. On the other hand, SP-RLD joint candidate Tabassum Hassan is set to win the crucial Lok Sabha seat of Kairana. The saffron party has suffered defeat fourth time this year, ahead of 2019 Lok Sabha elections. Earlier this year, BJP had lost the Gorakhpur and Phulpur seats, held by chief minister Yogi Adityanath and deputy chief minister Keshav Prasad Maurya respectively.

Kairana Trends After 18th Round | BJP candidate Mriganka Singh is trailing SP-RLD’s Tabassum Hasan by nearly 33,631 votes after 18 round of counting. The results are being seen as an indication of the ruling BJP’s popularity against opposition unity. The Kairana seat fell vacant after the death of BJP MP Hukum Singh, whose daughter Mriganka Singh is now the party candidate. She is fighting Rashtriya Lok Dal's Tabassum Hasan, who is also supported by the Congress, the Samajwadi Party and the Bahujan Samaj Party.

#BREAKING
कैराना में 15 वें राउंड की गिनती पूरी, आरएलडी प्रत्याशी तबस्सुम हसन को मिले 3 लाख 48 हजार 02 वोट, बीजेपी प्रत्याशी मृगांका को मिले 2 लाख 62 हजार 68 वोट, आरएलडी 42734से आगे#KairanaByPoll #UPBypolls #KairanaNoorpurVerdict #KairanaByPollResults @INCUttarPradesh @BJP4UP

— News18 Uttar Pradesh (@News18UP) May 31, 2018

Addressing a public meeting in Shamli in support of BJP candidate Mriganka Singh, the chief minister had earlier said, “Polarisation is already done. I know. On one side, there are people who flared up riots in Muzaffarnagar and western Uttar Pradesh. Youths like Sachin and Gaurav were brutally murdered and they along with others were implicated. Then no other party spoke out. Only BJP workers raised their voice. Workers like Suresh Rana (now UP minister) and Sanjeev Balyan (former Union minister) were booked, Hukum Singh (former Kairana MP) was stopped from getting justice for people.” According to Indian Express, UP CM had made the statement four days before the bypoll in Kairana Lok Sabha constituency.

Kairana and Riots | As Kairana is a communally sensitive constituency, top political leaders traders traded barbs over the 2013 Muzaffarnagar riots ahead of the counting of votes. Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath said his predecessor Akhilesh Yadav's hands were stained with the blood of victims of the riots. "The SP chief doesn't have the courage to come here and campaign. His hands are stained with the blood of Muzaffarnagar riot victims," he had said in a meeting at Ambheta in Saharanpur district. The chief minister's reference was to the Hindu-Muslim riots in adjoining Muzaffarnagar district in 2013, when several Muslim families fled their homes. In 2016, there was communal tension in Shamli district's Kairana block with allegations that the threatened Hindus were leaving their homes. Attacking the SP government, which was in power then, Adityanath said, "During the previous government, there were no jobs for the youngsters and only a specific community got jobs."  "We have adopted the practice of taking people from every caste and religion along with us," he had said. 

When it came to the Kairana Lok Sabha bypoll this year, which was necessitated by the death of Hukum Singh in February, the SP and RLD had to pick a candidate acceptable to all.

As RLD-SP joint candidate Tabassum Hassan leads by a huge margin in Kairana by elections, Samajwadi Party workers celebrate outside SP Headquarters in Lucknow.

Delhi Chief Minister and AAP national convenor Arvind Kejriwal says the by-election "results" show "public anger against Modi government".

Noorpur Assembly By Election | Samajwadi Party is leading by 10,208 votes after 20th round of counting. In Noorpur, the BJP has fielded Avani Singh, wife of deceased MLA Lokendra Chauhan, as its candidate, while the SP has given ticket to Naeemul Hasan. According to the Election Commission, there are 16.09 lakh voters in Kairana - 8.73 lakh male voters and 7.36 lakh female voters. Noorpur Assembly constituency has 3.06 lakh voters.
 

How Sugarcane Farmers Can Make or Mar a Party's Future | The main issue for Shamli farmers in Kairana Byelections — necessitated by the death of BJP Member of Parliament Hukum Singh — is sugarcane. According to a report in The Indian Express, Kairana constituency has six sugar mills: four private (the Shamli factory of Sir Shadi Lal Enterprises, Rana Sugars’ factory in Unn, Bajaj Hindusthan’s in Thana Bhawan and Uttam Sugar’s in Shermau) and two cooperative (in Sarsawa and Nanauta). In the current 2017-18 season (October-September), the six mills have, as on May 18, bought sugarcane worth Rs 1,778.49 crore at the UP government’s State Advised Price (SAP) of Rs 315-325 per quintal. Of this, they were to pay Rs 1,695.25 crore within 14 days of purchase, but have so far disbursed just Rs 888.03 crore. That translates into Rs 807.22 crore in arrears – for a single constituency.

Tabassum Hassan Leading by 42,000 Votes | BJP candidate Mriganka Singh is trailing SP-RLD’s Tabassum Hasan by nearly 42,068 votes after 14 round of counting. The results are being seen as an indication of the ruling BJP’s popularity against opposition unity. The Kairana seat fell vacant after the death of BJP MP Hukum Singh, whose daughter Mriganka Singh is now the party candidate. She is fighting Rashtriya Lok Dal's Tabassum Hasan, who is also supported by the Congress, the Samajwadi Party and the Bahujan Samaj Party. Just ahead of the polls, Lok Dal candidate Kanwar Hasan retired from the contest and joined RLD, further boosting her chances. The opposition hopes that by consolidating the anti-BJP vote it will repeat its success in Gorakhpur and Phulpur bye-elections earlier this year when the ruling party suffered humiliating defeats. The Kairana election is the fourth Lok Sabha by-election in the state since 2014. Apart from Gorakhpur and Phulpur, a by-election was also held in Mainpuri in 2014.

Kairana is an important seat for the BJP as it was for the first time in 2014 that the party managed to win from here. For long, sugarcane farmers in the region are burdened with non-payment by sugar mills. Kairana is being seen as a popularity test for the ruling BJP in the electorally crucial state of UP. Earlier, Hukum Singh's daughter and BJP candidate Mriganka SIngh had said that UP CM Adityanath Yogi had already cleared sugarcane dues till March and efforts to provide farmers further relief was underway.

PM Modi's Addresses to Sugarcane Farmers | Prime Minister Narendra Modi had ought to allay tensions in Uttar Pradesh’s Baghpat, a day after a sugarcane farmer died while protesting the non-payment of dues. Addressing supporters after inaugurating the Eastern Peripheral Expressway, Modi said his government was looking into the problems of sugarcane farmers. “I want to assure all sugarcane farmers here that the government is sensitive towards their issues and is working to resolve all the problems,” the PM said.  Hours after his statement, former Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Akhilesh Yadav slammed PM Modi, saying that the sugarcane farmers will not get their dues by holding roadshows. “People of Baghpat, Binor, Meerut, Shamli and Muzaffarnagar know how much payment of farmers is still due with the government. Road show won’t give farmers their due payment. Also, the inauguration which BJP is boasting was done only after Supreme Court's directives and that too, only nine kilometeres of the entire expressway is being inaugurated,” he said.

Days Before Kairana Elections, Sugarcane Farmer Protested Against State Government | Days before the Kairana By elections, the sugarcane issue had started raging in the area. Merely 30km away from Baghpat, Baraut town had been witnessing farmers’ protests. A 58-year-old farmer, Udayveer Singh, died while sitting on a dharna with 50 other farmers. Within hours, the protesting farmers gathered in huge numbers at the tehsil office. The protesters alleged that the BJP government had promised clearance of their dues within 14 days of coming to power in the state, but nothing was done even after a year. Instead, the power tariff was hiked twice, they said. The district administration claimed that the farmer could have died due to cardiac arrest. However, Udayveer Singh's family lodged an FIR on Saturday evening, stating that he suffered an ‘unnatural death’.

Kairana Update | BJP candidate Mriganka Singh is trailing SP-RLD’s Tabassum Hasan by nearly 40,000 votes after 12 round of counting. The results are being seen as an indication of the ruling BJP’s popularity against opposition unity. The Kairana seat fell vacant after the death of BJP MP Hukum Singh, whose daughter Mriganka Singh is now the party candidate. She is fighting Rashtriya Lok Dal's Tabassum Hasan, who is also supported by the Congress, the Samajwadi Party and the Bahujan Samaj Party. Just ahead of the polls, Lok Dal candidate Kanwar Hasan retired from the contest and joined RLD, further boosting her chances. The opposition hopes that by consolidating the anti-BJP vote it will repeat its success in Gorakhpur and Phulpur bye-elections earlier this year when the ruling party suffered humiliating defeats. The Kairana election is the fourth Lok Sabha by-election in the state since 2014. Apart from Gorakhpur and Phulpur, a by-election was also held in Mainpuri in 2014.

While the two families battled against each other for at least two decades, their political legacies have now been handed over to members of their respective clans, who are eager to appropriate the inheritance.

Kairana By Elections Trends | After the 11th round of counting in Kairana, RLD is leading by 2,36,975, followed by BJP which is leading by 1,94,875 votes. Meanwhile, after 12th round, RLD has go 2,50,862 and BJP 2,10,977. The total lead now is 39,885

Noorpur Update | After fourteen rounds of counting, SP candidate Naeemul Hasan is leading by 5,182 votes. While Naeemul Hasan has secured 53,771 votes, while BJP's Avani Singh has got 48,589 votes.

RLD candidate Tabassum Hasan to CNN-News 18 | In an exclusive chat with CNN-News18, SP-RLD candidate Tabassum Hasan said, repolling helped us by 20,000 votes. Our margins would have been greater if the EVMs didn't falter confidence that these positive results will continue. This will be a victory of truth over lie. Our truth Vs their four years of lies. All parties coming together for the people have worked.

Noorpur Update | BJP candidate Avani Singh, wife of late MLA Lokendra Singh, leaves the counting venue in Noorpur. She says: "I am confident of gaining lead in upcoming rounds." The bye-election to Noorpur Assembly seat was necessitated due to the death of BJP MLA Lokendra Singh Chauhan in a road accident in February. While BJP reposed faith in Avani Singh, wife of late MLA Lokendra Chauhan, as its candidate, the SP fielded Naeemul Hasan as its nominee.

Kairana Update | After nine  rounds of counting, Tabassum Hasan is leading by 41,205 votes. The current tally stands as follows:
RLD’s Tabassum Hasan: 1,51,427
BJP’s Mriganka Singh: 1,10,222

Noorpur Update | After 12 rounds of counting, Samajwadi Party candidate Naeemul Hasan is leading by 4,524 votes over BJP's Avani Singh. The bye-election to Noorpur Assembly seat was necessitated due to the death of BJP MLA Lokendra Singh Chauhan in a road accident in February. While BJP reposed faith in Avani Singh, wife of late MLA Lokendra Chauhan, as its candidate, the SP fielded Naeemul Hasan as its nominee.

Kairana Update | Here are the tabulation sheets after seven and eight rounds of counting. RLD's Tabassum Hasan is currently leading with 21,216 votes while BJP's Mriganka Singh is trailing at 20,369 votes.

Opposition Widens Kairana Lead | RLD-SP candidate Tabassum Hasan has widened her lead over BJP’s Mriganka Singh in the Kairana Lok Sabha by-election and is ahead by over 20,000 votes. After six rounds of counting, SP-RLD candidate Tabassum Hasan has got 56,713 votes while BJP's Mriganka got 36,014 votes. The results will show if the ruling BJP manages to break its losing streak this year in Uttar Pradesh Lok Sabha bypolls or hands over a hat-trick to the opposition. The Kairana seat fell vacant after the death of BJP MP Hukum Singh, whose daughter Mriganka Singh is now the party candidate. She is fighting Rashtriya Lok Dal's Tabassum Hasan, who is also supported by the Congress, the Samajwadi Party and the Bahujan Samaj Party. Just ahead of the polls, Lok Dal candidate Kanwar Hasan retired from the contest and joined RLD, further boosting her chances. The opposition hopes that by consolidating the anti-BJP vote it will repeat its success in Gorakhpur and Phulpur bye-elections earlier this year when the ruling party suffered humiliating defeats. The Kairana election is the fourth Lok Sabha by-election in the state since 2014. Apart from Gorakhpur and Phulpur, a by-election was also held in Mainpuri in 2014.

Noorpur Update | The BJP has lost the early leads in the Noorpur bypoll. Samajwadi Party candidate Naeemul Hasan is leading by 9,242 votes over BJP's Avani Singh after six rounds of counting. The bye-election to Noorpur Assembly seat was necessitated due to the death of BJP MLA Lokendra Singh Chauhan in a road accident in February. While BJP reposed faith in Avani Singh, wife of late MLA Lokendra Chauhan, as its candidate, the SP fielded Naeemul Hasan as its nominee.

Kairana Update | After four rounds, RLD's Tabassum Hasan is leading in Kairana Lok Sabha by-election. She has polled 12,790 votes so far, compared to BJP's Mriganka Singh who has polled 8,029 votes. The results will show if the ruling BJP manages to break its losing streak this year in Uttar Pradesh Lok Sabha bypolls or hands over a hat-trick to the opposition. The Kairana seat fell vacant after the death of BJP MP Hukum Singh, whose daughter Mriganka Singh is now the party candidate. She is fighting Rashtriya Lok Dal's Tabassum Hasan, who is also supported by the Congress, the Samajwadi Party and the Bahujan Samaj Party. Just ahead of the polls, Lok Dal candidate Kanwar Hasan retired from the contest and joined RLD, further boosting her chances. The opposition hopes that by consolidating the anti-BJP vote it will repeat its success in Gorakhpur and Phulpur bye-elections earlier this year when the ruling party suffered humiliating defeats. 

Kairana Update | The BJP has lost the early leads in the Kairana Lok Sabha bypoll to the SP-RLD. The saffron party is locked in an intense fight with combined opposition, including the RLD, SP, Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and Congress. The will show if the ruling BJP manages to break its losing streak this year in Uttar Pradesh Lok Sabha bypolls or hands over a hat-trick to the opposition. The Kairana seat fell vacant after the death of BJP MP Hukum Singh, whose daughter Mriganka Singh is now the party candidate. She is fighting Rashtriya Lok Dal's Tabassum Hasan, who is also supported by the Congress, the Samajwadi Party and the Bahujan Samaj Party. Just ahead of the polls, Lok Dal candidate Kanwar Hasan retired from the contest and joined RLD, further boosting her chances. The opposition hopes that by consolidating the anti-BJP vote it will repeat its success in Gorakhpur and Phulpur bye-elections earlier this year when the ruling party suffered humiliating defeats. The Kairana election is the fourth Lok Sabha by-election in the state since 2014. Apart from Gorakhpur and Phulpur, a byeelection was also held in Mainpuri in 2014.

First round of counting is completed, tabulation is underway, RLD candidate Tabassum Hassan has received 3,700 votes and BJP's Mriganka Singh has received 3,746 votes: Indra Vikram Singh, District Magistrate, Shamli

Kairana Update | Two rounds of counting have been completed in Kairana. Tabassum Hassan, the join SP-RLD candidate, is leading by 3,118 votes.

Noorpur update | After third round of counting, Samajwadi Party candidate Naeemul Hasan is leading by 4,022 votes over Avani Singh, wife of late BJP MLA Lokendra Singh Chauhan whose death necessitated the bypoll.