Tick forecast 2018: Experts predict more Lyme disease in Canada

There are more ticks in more parts of Canada now, experts say, and they believe that this could lead to more cases of Lyme disease this year.

“What we’re seeing is definitely a range expansion. This is not a problem that’s getting smaller, it’s tending to get larger in terms of the range of the tick,” said Robbin Lindsay, a research scientist with the Public Health Agency of Canada who specializes in ticks.

Around 20 per cent of blacklegged ticks carry the bacteria that causes Lyme disease, he said. This disease causes symptoms including fever, a rash, and fatigue. Left untreated, it can cause facial paralysis and heart and neurological disorders. There were 992 cases across Canada in 2016, the latest year for which data is available.

Here’s what you need to know about ticks in 2018.

Where are they?

Blacklegged ticks are typically found in wooded areas with lots of leaf-litter, which they can hide under to escape the sun, said Curtis Russell, an entomologist with Public Health Ontario.

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Although in the 1990s, they were only found on a tiny peninsula in Ontario, blacklegged ticks have since expanded their range across most provinces.

Some of the newest areas where ticks have migrated include southern New Brunswick and parts of Nova Scotia, Lindsay said.

READ MORE: N.S. Public Health urges residents to be wary of ticks as temperatures increase

They have spread out from Quebec’s Eastern Townships and are now found across the central and western parts of the province.

“There’s quite a bit of activity in Eastern Ontario. That area continues to really fill in,” he said. There are also some pockets in Georgian Bay and more recently, near Kenora-Rainy River.

Ticks are found “right across the southern part of Manitoba that extends from the east right over to the west. And there’s a little spot quite far north,” said Dr. Richard Rusk, medical officer of health for communicable diseases at Manitoba Health.

READ MORE: Warm weather means tick season has arrived in Manitoba

Manitoba’s ticks are spreading westward, said Lindsay, and are now threatening to enter Saskatchewan.

“They are currently blacklegged tick population free, but we don’t know how long it’s going to stay that way.”

A full list of Lyme disease risk areas is found on the Public Health Agency of Canada website.

It’s not just that ticks are found in more areas, he said, it’s also that there are more ticks in those areas. And, they’ve moved into more heavily-populated parts of the country.

Lyme and other diseases

That means more bites and although it can be difficult to predict year-to-year, likely more cases of Lyme disease.

“Unfortunately the trend appears to be in an upward direction. We’re definitely seeing more cases than we have historically and we’ve seen an increase on an annual basis,” Lindsay said.

The 992 cases reported across Canada in 2016 is up from 144 in 2009.

This is partly due to more ticks, but also to better detection and reporting, Rusk said. “If we are getting more cases, that means physicians are finding them. So that’s good.”

Ontario, Manitoba and the federal government have all had education programs for both the public and physicians, to help everyone better recognize the signs of Lyme disease.

WATCH: With the warmer weather upon us, ticks have come out of hibernation. Here are some of the diseases to look out for.

There are other diseases too, though. “It’s not just Lyme disease. I can’t stress this enough,” Rusk said.

Manitoba also tracks cases of anaplasmosis and babesiosis, two diseases that are much less common than Lyme. There were 15 confirmed cases of anaplasmosis in the province in 2016 and only one of babesiosis.

Prevention

The best way to prevent tick-borne disease is to not get bitten, experts say.

When you’re in a wooded area that might have ticks, stay in the middle of the trail, Russell said. The bugs can’t jump onto you, they only grab on if you brush against them.

“Wear long sleeves, light coloured clothing with everything tucked in. That way you have a better chance of noticing the tick on you,” he said. You should also wear a bug repellant containing DEET or picaridin.

When you get home, you should undress and shower to wash off any bugs that aren’t attached, and ideally get a buddy to help you check your skin for ticks. “I’ll let you define your buddy for that,” Russell said. They can be quite small – just the size of a poppy seed – so you have to check carefully.

Russell also recommends putting your clothes in the dryer for about an hour to kill any bugs on the fabric.

WATCH: Ticks and Lyme disease prevention tips

If you know that you were bitten by a tick, mark the date on your calendar, Rusk said. Manitoba actually offers a program in which, if you’re not sure whether the tick was a blacklegged tick, you can send them a photo online and they will tell you within a day or two, he said.

“If you feel that you’ve got any symptoms, you need to go to your physician,” he said. Knowing that you were bitten by a tick and when is very helpful for the doctor’s diagnosis too.

“If as a physician, you’ve got this history of this tick bite, it was eight days ago, and there’s a little bit of a rash, that’s a no-brainer. You treat. There, done.”